Washington

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.8%Washington

24.2%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWashington -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL154.4

MODEL MONEYLINEWashington -313

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWashington 81

Projected Total154.4

Projected ScorePenn State 74

Team Comparison

WashingtonMetricPenn State

57.1MMH Power Index42.3

112.2Offensive Efficiency109.2

107.1Defensive Efficiency117.6

5.1Net Efficiency-8.4

4.2Strength of Schedule5.3

0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

68.7Tempo67.5

51.4%Effective FG%53.4%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.6%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

30.9%Free Throw Rate34.6%

3.5Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Washington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWashington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–42.3), offensive efficiency (112.2–109.2), defensive efficiency (107.1–117.6), net efficiency (5.1–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.3–4.2), shooting efficiency (53.4–51.4), free throw rate (34.6–30.9).

Final

Washington

75—73

Penn State

Washington by 2 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WashingtonTEAM STATPenn State

25-57FG25-62

44.0%FG%40.0%

11-233PT9-28

48.0%3PT%32.0%

14-19FT14-18

74.0%FT%78.0%

38Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds10

20Assists14

13Turnovers11

9Steals8

6Blocks3

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Washington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mekhi Mason	G	28	6-14	6-11	2-2	1	0	1	0	20
Franck Kepnang	C	27	6-10	0-0	2-3	5	0	4	5	14
DJ Davis	Guard	25	4-7	3-6	3-3	4	2	1	0	14
Zoom Diallo	G	22	4-9	0-1	4-5	6	1	0	0	12
Great Osobor	Forward	34	2-7	0-0	2-4	13	10	2	0	6
Tyler Harris	F	34	2-8	1-3	1-2	2	1	0	1	6
Wilhelm Breidenbach	F	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Tyree Ihenacho	Guard	20	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	5	1	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	40	6-13	4-8	4-4	2	8	6	0	20
Freddie Dilione V	G	29	6-11	1-5	2-2	4	1	0	0	15
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	28	4-10	2-5	2-2	4	1	0	0	12
Zach Hicks	Forward	36	2-8	2-6	4-4	4	0	2	0	10
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	34	4-8	0-0	2-4	11	1	0	3	10
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	23	3-9	0-2	0-2	5	2	0	0	6
Kachi Nzeh	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Dominick Stewart	G	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

105.9Offensive Efficiency103.1

103.1Defensive Efficiency105.9

2.8Net Efficiency-2.8

53.5%Effective FG%47.6%

56.8%True Shooting %51.7%

18.6%Turnover Rate15.4%

33.3%Free Throw Rate29.0%

40.4%3-Point Rate45.2%

1.54Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Washington won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.