Vermont

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.9%Vermont

19.1%Maine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVermont -8.1

PROJECTED TOTAL135.1

MODEL MONEYLINEVermont -424

Maine

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVermont 72

Projected Total135.1

Projected ScoreMaine 63

Team Comparison

VermontMetricMaine

53.1MMH Power Index35.6

112.2Offensive Efficiency95.6

104.7Defensive Efficiency104.6

7.5Net Efficiency-9.0

-4.4Strength of Schedule-1.8

12.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.8

65.4Tempo65.4

54.1%Effective FG%50.5%

14.4%Turnover Rate19.0%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %19.4%

32.4%Free Throw Rate38.5%

4.9Average Margin-5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Vermont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVermont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.1–35.6), offensive efficiency (112.2–95.6), net efficiency (7.5–-9.0), recent form (12.4–-6.8).

Maine COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.6–104.7), strength of schedule (-1.8–-4.4), free throw rate (38.5–32.4).

Final

Vermont

65—61

Maine

Vermont by 4 • 62.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VermontTEAM STATMaine

23-48FG24-54

48.0%FG%44.0%

8-213PT8-22

38.0%3PT%36.0%

11-18FT5-9

61.0%FT%56.0%

30Rebounds32

6Offensive Rebounds8

19Assists16

12Turnovers12

5Steals7

5Blocks4

12Fouls15

Player Box Score

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Hurley	G	34	7-13	4-7	6-9	1	1	1	0	24
Ileri Ayo-Faleye	Forward	34	4-7	1-2	3-4	3	1	1	3	12
Sam Alamutu	G	38	4-8	0-0	1-2	13	7	2	0	9
Sean Blake	G	28	4-5	0-0	0-0	4	4	1	1	8
Nick Fiorillo	Forward	38	2-9	2-9	1-3	7	5	0	1	7
Jace Roquemore	Guard	17	1-3	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Shamir Bogues	Guard	8	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Seth Joba	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Noah Barnett	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Maine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kellen Tynes	Guard	35	8-18	1-5	2-4	5	4	1	1	19
Quion Burns	Guard	34	6-11	3-7	1-3	9	1	2	2	16
Jaden Clayton	G	36	3-7	1-3	0-0	2	5	1	0	7
Killian Gribben	F	22	3-5	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	1	6
Christopher Mantis	Forward	17	2-4	2-4	0-0	7	2	1	0	6
AJ Lopez	G	33	1-7	1-3	2-2	1	2	0	0	5
Keelan Steele	F	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Logan Carey	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.5Possessions62.5

104.0Offensive Efficiency97.6

97.6Defensive Efficiency104.0

6.4Net Efficiency-6.4

56.3%Effective FG%51.9%

57.5%True Shooting %52.3%

19.2%Turnover Rate19.3%

37.5%Free Throw Rate16.7%

43.8%3-Point Rate40.7%

1.58Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Vermont won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 62.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.