App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.8%App State

23.2%Georgia State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL141.5

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -331

Georgia State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 74

Projected Total141.5

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 67

Team Comparison

App StateMetricGeorgia State

54.2MMH Power Index38.9

110.9Offensive Efficiency101.3

101.7Defensive Efficiency107.5

9.2Net Efficiency-6.2

-4.2Strength of Schedule-1.7

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.9

64.9Tempo69.5

51.1%Effective FG%45.3%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.6%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.8%Free Throw Rate37.4%

6.0Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–38.9), offensive efficiency (110.9–101.3), defensive efficiency (101.7–107.5), net efficiency (9.2–-6.2).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-4.2).

Final

App State

65—70

Georgia State

Georgia State by 5 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATGeorgia State

26-59FG26-58

44.0%FG%45.0%

9-253PT6-14

36.0%3PT%43.0%

4-6FT12-18

67.0%FT%67.0%

30Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists13

7Turnovers8

6Steals5

2Blocks4

13Fouls8

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Tate	Guard	35	6-12	3-5	1-2	6	6	2	0	16
CJ Huntley	Forward	36	5-13	1-6	3-4	12	3	1	2	14
Dior Conners	G	35	5-11	4-10	0-0	4	1	1	0	14
Jalil Beaubrun	Forward	31	5-8	0-0	0-0	5	0	2	0	10
Alonzo Dodd	G	32	3-9	0-3	0-0	2	4	0	0	6
Jamil Muttilib	G	8	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Luke Wilson	C	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jackson Threadgill	Guard	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cesare Edwards	Center	40	11-19	2-3	0-0	10	1	1	3	24
Malachi Brown	G	34	3-7	2-3	3-3	4	3	1	0	11
Toneari Lane	G	37	2-7	1-3	5-6	1	2	1	0	10
Nick McMullen	Forward	26	5-6	0-0	0-2	8	1	0	1	10
Zarique Nutter	F	21	3-10	0-0	2-3	6	4	0	0	8
Jelani Hamilton	G	28	1-6	1-5	1-2	2	2	1	0	4
Clash Peters	F	14	1-3	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

101.9Offensive Efficiency109.7

109.7Defensive Efficiency101.9

-7.8Net Efficiency7.8

51.7%Effective FG%50.0%

52.5%True Shooting %52.6%

11.1%Turnover Rate12.4%

10.2%Free Throw Rate31.0%

42.4%3-Point Rate24.1%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

Georgia State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.