Denver

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.6%Denver

83.4%North Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -12.9

PROJECTED TOTAL162.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -502

North Dakota State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDenver 75

Projected Total162.1

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 87

Team Comparison

DenverMetricNorth Dakota State

49.1MMH Power Index59

119.2Offensive Efficiency115.4

119.2Defensive Efficiency100.8

0.0Net Efficiency14.6

-2.6Strength of Schedule-4.6

4.0Last 10 Net Efficiency14.3

69.5Tempo69.6

55.3%Effective FG%54.5%

14.2%Turnover Rate15.5%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

35.3%Free Throw Rate31.3%

0.0Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–49.1), defensive efficiency (100.8–119.2), net efficiency (14.6–0.0), recent form (14.3–4.0).

Denver COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.2–115.4), strength of schedule (-2.6–-4.6), shooting efficiency (55.3–54.5).

Final

Denver

84—89

North Dakota State

North Dakota State by 5 • 76.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DenverTEAM STATNorth Dakota State

32-65FG27-59

49.0%FG%46.0%

7-143PT17-33

50.0%3PT%52.0%

13-14FT18-22

93.0%FT%82.0%

36Rebounds26

12Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists16

15Turnovers15

8Steals8

2Blocks1

22Fouls15

Player Box Score

Denver

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sebastian Akins	G	37	10-21	1-3	6-6	5	4	1	0	27
DeAndre Craig Jr.	G	34	5-11	1-1	6-6	4	3	2	0	17
Isaiah Carr	F	26	5-9	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	10
Josh Pickett	G	26	3-4	2-3	0-0	3	0	2	0	8
Josh Lee	G	24	3-4	1-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	7
Isaiah Addo-Ankrah	Guard	20	3-5	1-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	7
Jon Mani	G	17	1-5	1-1	0-0	4	0	1	1	3
Abdulai Fanta Kabba	C	16	1-3	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	0	3
Nick Shogbonyo	G	25	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	2

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacksen Moni	Forward	37	9-18	4-8	5-7	6	7	0	1	27
Jacari White	G	34	7-15	5-9	4-4	5	1	4	0	23
Masen Miller	Guard	43	5-10	5-8	0-0	3	3	1	0	15
Luke Kasubke	Guard	19	1-1	1-1	4-4	3	0	1	0	7
Tajavis Miller	G	25	3-8	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Andy Stefonowicz	G	13	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	2	1	0	6
Noah Feddersen	F	27	0-3	0-0	5-7	2	0	0	0	5
Brennan Watkins	G	26	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	2	1	0	0
Darik Dissette	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.1Possessions76.1

110.4Offensive Efficiency117.0

117.0Defensive Efficiency110.4

-6.6Net Efficiency6.6

54.6%Effective FG%60.2%

58.6%True Shooting %64.1%

20.1%Turnover Rate19.4%

21.5%Free Throw Rate37.3%

21.5%3-Point Rate55.9%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 76.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.