Bowling Green

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.2%Bowling Green

48.8%Buffalo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -105

Buffalo

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBowling Green 79

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreBuffalo 78

Team Comparison

Bowling GreenMetricBuffalo

54.7MMH Power Index49.7

112.6Offensive Efficiency114.9

99.1Defensive Efficiency112.2

13.5Net Efficiency2.7

-4.7Strength of Schedule0.0

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

72.2Tempo67.9

53.4%Effective FG%56.1%

15.9%Turnover Rate16.1%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

38.7%Free Throw Rate40.4%

9.8Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bowling Green HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBowling Green holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–49.7), defensive efficiency (99.1–112.2), net efficiency (13.5–2.7), recent form (1.4–-5.9).

Buffalo COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.9–112.6), strength of schedule (0.0–-4.7), shooting efficiency (56.1–53.4).

Final

Bowling Green

63—59

Buffalo

Bowling Green by 4 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Bowling GreenTEAM STATBuffalo

22-52FG20-49

42.0%FG%41.0%

4-183PT7-16

22.0%3PT%44.0%

15-19FT12-21

79.0%FT%57.0%

29Rebounds38

5Offensive Rebounds10

7Assists10

14Turnovers17

11Steals6

6Blocks2

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javontae Campbell	G	27	8-11	0-1	4-7	3	1	2	1	20
Trey Thomas	Guard	32	4-11	1-6	1-2	1	2	2	0	10
DaJion Humphrey	G	37	2-8	2-5	2-2	1	1	5	1	8
Marcus Johnson	F	33	2-11	1-4	2-2	4	2	1	0	7
Wilguens Jr. Exacte	F	25	1-2	0-0	5-5	9	1	1	1	7
Derrick Butler	Guard	16	3-6	0-2	1-1	1	0	0	1	7
Jamai Felt	F	21	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	2	2
Braelon Green	G	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jaxon Pardon	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Anquan Boldin Jr	G	33	5-9	0-1	2-3	7	0	0	1	12
Ryan Sabol	G	37	4-7	1-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	9
Kavon Bradford	G	22	3-6	0-0	3-8	3	4	1	0	9
Tyson Dunn	G	13	3-5	3-3	0-0	0	3	0	0	9
Ben Michaels	F	32	3-10	2-5	0-0	6	2	0	0	8
Noah Batchelor	G	26	2-4	1-2	2-4	5	1	1	0	7
Bryson Wilson	G	22	0-4	0-1	5-6	12	0	3	1	5
Tim Oboh	C	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Omar Migues-Hibeljic	G	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

92.6Offensive Efficiency86.8

86.8Defensive Efficiency92.6

5.9Net Efficiency-5.9

46.2%Effective FG%48.0%

51.6%True Shooting %50.0%

20.0%Turnover Rate25.8%

36.5%Free Throw Rate42.9%

34.6%3-Point Rate32.7%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.59

Game Summary

Bowling Green won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.