Duquesne

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.7%Duquesne

82.3%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL150.0

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -465

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuquesne 70

Projected Total150.0

Projected ScoreDayton 80

Team Comparison

DuquesneMetricDayton

50.7MMH Power Index59.9

110.6Offensive Efficiency108.5

106.2Defensive Efficiency101.5

4.4Net Efficiency7.0

0.6Strength of Schedule5.7

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

70.8Tempo68.3

53.4%Effective FG%52.0%

17.7%Turnover Rate16.9%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

38.2%Free Throw Rate47.6%

3.1Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–50.7), defensive efficiency (101.5–106.2), net efficiency (7.0–4.4), strength of schedule (5.7–0.6).

Duquesne COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–108.5), shooting efficiency (53.4–52.0), offensive rebounding (30.6–26.7).

Final

Duquesne

76—77

Dayton

Dayton by 1 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DuquesneTEAM STATDayton

26-54FG25-49

48.0%FG%51.0%

10-283PT3-13

36.0%3PT%23.0%

14-22FT24-33

64.0%FT%73.0%

30Rebounds29

13Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists10

14Turnovers10

6Steals11

2Blocks3

22Fouls17

Player Box Score

Duquesne

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Dinkins	G	35	8-13	3-7	2-2	3	3	2	0	21
Matúš Hronský	F	18	5-7	4-5	2-2	2	0	0	0	16
Jahsean Corbett	Guard	23	4-5	0-0	3-9	4	1	2	0	11
Jakub Necas	F	29	3-10	0-6	3-4	5	3	0	0	9
Maximus Edwards	G	26	2-4	2-4	2-2	4	1	0	0	8
Cam Crawford	G	20	2-8	1-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Eli Wilborn	F	15	1-1	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	1	3
David Dixon	F	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Kareem Rozier	G	22	0-3	0-2	1-2	1	3	1	0	1

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	32	5-8	1-2	8-10	5	1	3	0	19
Zed Key	Forward	19	6-7	0-0	6-6	6	0	1	0	18
Malachi Smith	G	26	4-6	1-1	3-4	0	3	1	0	12
Javon Bennett	G	27	3-6	0-0	1-2	3	2	3	1	7
Isaac Jack	F	10	3-3	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	6
Jacob Conner	F	13	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Nate Santos	Forward	33	1-6	0-3	2-3	4	2	1	0	4
Posh Alexander	Guard	14	0-5	0-3	2-2	1	2	1	0	2
Amaël L'Etang	F	11	0-2	0-2	2-4	2	0	0	1	2
Hamad Mousa	G	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jaiun Simon	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

115.9Offensive Efficiency117.4

117.4Defensive Efficiency115.9

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

57.4%Effective FG%54.1%

59.0%True Shooting %59.5%

21.4%Turnover Rate15.2%

40.7%Free Throw Rate67.3%

51.9%3-Point Rate26.5%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Dayton won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.