Morehead State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

86.7%Morehead State

13.3%Western Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMorehead State -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL146.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMorehead State -652

Western Illinois

5-26

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorehead State 79

Projected Total146.9

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 68

Team Comparison

Morehead StateMetricWestern Illinois

47.3MMH Power Index25.9

110.8Offensive Efficiency96.2

110.0Defensive Efficiency113.9

0.8Net Efficiency-17.7

-4.0Strength of Schedule-2.4

3.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-26.3

67.9Tempo67.5

51.3%Effective FG%45.4%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.5%

36.4%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

37.9%Free Throw Rate37.5%

0.5Average Margin-11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morehead State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorehead State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.3–25.9), offensive efficiency (110.8–96.2), defensive efficiency (110.0–113.9), net efficiency (0.8–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-4.0).

Final

Morehead State

67—72

Western Illinois

Western Illinois by 5 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morehead StateTEAM STATWestern Illinois

23-60FG23-50

38.0%FG%46.0%

7-233PT10-21

30.0%3PT%48.0%

14-22FT16-23

64.0%FT%70.0%

42Rebounds29

14Offensive Rebounds2

15Assists9

10Turnovers9

5Steals3

1Blocks5

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Anouar Mellouk	F	21	5-10	0-0	3-8	8	1	0	0	13
Kenny White Jr.	Forward	38	5-15	0-2	2-2	7	2	2	0	12
Khouri Carvey	F	18	3-4	0-0	4-4	7	2	0	0	10
Steven Clay	G	27	3-7	3-6	0-0	6	0	1	1	9
Kade Ruegsegger	Guard	9	3-4	3-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Tyler Brelsford	Guard	29	2-6	1-4	3-4	3	3	1	0	8
George Marshall	G	15	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Trent Scott	Guard	10	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Jerone Morton	G	30	0-8	0-6	1-2	1	6	1	0	1
Jaden Webb	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Myers	G	34	9-17	4-6	6-8	1	2	0	0	28
Trey Deveaux	F	37	6-10	4-4	1-2	11	1	1	0	17
Marko Maletic	Guard	31	3-10	2-7	6-8	4	1	1	0	14
Sean Smith	G	25	3-7	0-2	0-0	3	2	1	0	6
Julius Rollins	G	34	1-5	0-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Rodrick Payne	Forward	21	1-1	0-0	0-1	5	1	0	3	2
Massal Diouf	Forward	16	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	1
Kiyron Powell	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

99.7Offensive Efficiency107.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency99.7

-7.4Net Efficiency7.4

44.2%Effective FG%56.0%

47.6%True Shooting %59.1%

15.0%Turnover Rate13.2%

36.7%Free Throw Rate46.0%

38.3%3-Point Rate42.0%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Western Illinois won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.