UCF

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%UCF

50.5%Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL163.8

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado -102

Colorado

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCF 81

Projected Total163.8

Projected ScoreColorado 82

Team Comparison

UCFMetricColorado

57.1MMH Power Index52.7

113.3Offensive Efficiency112.9

110.0Defensive Efficiency112.4

3.3Net Efficiency0.5

6.6Strength of Schedule5.1

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

71.2Tempo71.0

53.0%Effective FG%53.0%

16.0%Turnover Rate14.6%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

31.1%Free Throw Rate37.9%

2.4Average Margin0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–52.7), offensive efficiency (113.3–112.9), defensive efficiency (110.0–112.4), net efficiency (3.3–0.5).

Colorado COUNTERS WITHball security (14.6–16.0), free throw rate (37.9–31.1).

Final

UCF

63—76

Colorado

Colorado by 13 • 71.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATColorado

21-61FG25-59

34.0%FG%42.0%

6-233PT7-22

26.0%3PT%32.0%

15-20FT19-23

75.0%FT%83.0%

29Rebounds52

8Offensive Rebounds16

8Assists11

8Turnovers19

12Steals5

6Blocks5

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyshawn Hall	F	38	6-14	2-4	5-7	9	0	1	1	19
Darius Johnson	Guard	36	6-13	1-4	2-2	3	2	1	0	15
Nils Machowski	G	23	5-5	2-2	1-2	5	2	3	0	13
Mikey Williams	G	23	3-10	0-2	2-2	2	0	1	0	8
Moustapha Thiam	C	32	1-9	1-5	4-4	3	1	1	5	7
Dallan Coleman	Guard	20	0-5	0-3	1-3	0	0	4	0	1
Tyler Hendricks	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Benny Williams	Forward	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
JJ Taylor	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Rokas Jocius	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrej Jakimovski	Forward	26	6-10	3-6	0-0	7	1	0	0	15
Julian Hammond III	Guard	29	2-10	1-3	6-6	5	1	1	2	11
Sebastian Rancik	F	31	4-11	0-2	2-2	7	1	1	0	10
RJ Smith	G	31	2-5	1-4	4-4	6	1	0	1	9
Bangot Dak	F	24	4-9	0-1	1-2	5	3	1	2	9
Javon Ruffin	G	17	3-5	2-4	0-1	2	2	1	0	8
Elijah Malone	C	13	3-5	0-1	1-2	5	0	0	0	7
Assane Diop	F	19	1-2	0-0	4-4	10	1	1	0	6
Trevor Baskin	Forward	10	0-2	0-1	1-2	0	1	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

71.7Possessions71.7

87.9Offensive Efficiency106.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency87.9

-18.1Net Efficiency18.1

39.3%Effective FG%48.3%

44.7%True Shooting %54.3%

11.3%Turnover Rate26.1%

32.8%Free Throw Rate39.0%

37.7%3-Point Rate37.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.58

Game Summary

Colorado won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 71.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.