Southern Miss

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.3%Southern Miss

16.7%UL Monroe

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Miss -10.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.1

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Miss -499

UL Monroe

4-28

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 83

Projected Total155.1

Projected ScoreUL Monroe 72

Team Comparison

Southern MissMetricUL Monroe

49.9MMH Power Index30.9

106.1Offensive Efficiency101.1

104.9Defensive Efficiency117.1

1.2Net Efficiency-16.0

-0.2Strength of Schedule-1.0

3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.2

70.4Tempo71.7

49.9%Effective FG%48.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate16.9%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

43.9%Free Throw Rate40.6%

0.9Average Margin-11.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Miss HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Miss holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–30.9), offensive efficiency (106.1–101.1), defensive efficiency (104.9–117.1), net efficiency (1.2–-16.0).

UL Monroe COUNTERS WITHball security (16.9–18.4).

Final

Southern Miss

74—81

UL Monroe

UL Monroe by 7 • 75.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern MissTEAM STATUL Monroe

29-60FG29-55

48.0%FG%53.0%

6-233PT3-13

26.0%3PT%23.0%

10-12FT20-27

83.0%FT%74.0%

26Rebounds32

4Offensive Rebounds5

21Assists16

14Turnovers13

8Steals12

1Blocks2

20Fouls12

Player Box Score

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Denijay Harris	Forward	39	9-16	1-3	5-7	13	0	0	0	24
Neftali Alvarez	Guard	36	9-15	1-4	0-0	0	6	3	0	19
Christian Watson	G	36	3-11	0-4	5-5	1	2	1	1	11
Andre Curbelo	Guard	25	3-5	2-2	0-0	2	6	2	0	8
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	15	2-6	1-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Jett Montgomery	G	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jeffery Armstrong	Guard	20	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	4	1	0	2
Christian Reid	Guard	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	12	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
John Wade III	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Brewer Carruth	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UL Monroe

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Bolden	G	39	10-18	0-2	4-6	7	3	3	0	24
Tyreese Watson	G	37	5-14	1-4	12-14	3	10	3	0	23
Makai Willis	C	38	9-12	0-1	0-0	9	1	1	1	18
Coltie Young	Guard	38	3-7	2-5	2-4	5	1	4	0	10
Jerry Ngopot	F	18	2-3	0-0	2-3	1	0	0	1	6
AD Diedhiou	Forward	22	0-0	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	0	0
Micah Caster	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.8Possessions75.8

97.6Offensive Efficiency106.9

106.9Defensive Efficiency97.6

-9.2Net Efficiency9.2

53.3%Effective FG%55.5%

56.3%True Shooting %59.7%

18.5%Turnover Rate17.1%

20.0%Free Throw Rate49.1%

38.3%3-Point Rate23.6%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

UL Monroe won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 75.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.