The Citadel

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.0%The Citadel

92.0%Western Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Carolina -16.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Carolina -1150

Western Carolina

15-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreThe Citadel 69

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreWestern Carolina 85

Team Comparison

The CitadelMetricWestern Carolina

35.6MMH Power Index53

106.1Offensive Efficiency112.6

116.9Defensive Efficiency111.0

-10.8Net Efficiency1.6

-1.3Strength of Schedule-0.9

-16.2Last 10 Net Efficiency13.1

66.3Tempo69.7

50.4%Effective FG%51.1%

15.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %36.1%

29.6%Free Throw Rate30.8%

-7.2Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.0–35.6), offensive efficiency (112.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (111.0–116.9), net efficiency (1.6–-10.8).

The Citadel COUNTERS WITHball security (15.7–16.4).

Final

The Citadel

73—76

Western Carolina

Western Carolina by 3 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

The CitadelTEAM STATWestern Carolina

26-63FG28-61

41.0%FG%46.0%

4-233PT6-24

17.0%3PT%25.0%

17-22FT14-18

77.0%FT%78.0%

41Rebounds36

14Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists11

9Turnovers8

7Steals4

1Blocks3

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

The Citadel

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brody Fox	Guard	36	9-17	0-1	5-5	8	3	1	0	23
Christian Moore	F	35	7-16	3-8	3-3	3	0	2	0	20
Sola Adebisi	F	36	2-9	0-3	6-8	7	3	0	1	10
Cameron Glover	Guard	21	2-6	0-3	2-2	5	0	1	0	6
Paxton Davidson	Guard	25	2-6	1-4	0-0	6	2	3	0	5
John Adams	Forward	20	2-3	0-0	0-2	4	2	0	0	4
Colby McAllister	Guard	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Dante Kearse	F	2	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Eze Wali	G	13	0-3	0-3	1-2	1	1	0	0	1

Western Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Kell	F	34	6-10	1-4	5-5	8	1	1	0	18
Cord Stansberry	G	27	6-12	3-8	0-1	3	0	1	0	15
Bernard Pelote	Forward	31	4-11	1-3	2-2	8	3	0	3	11
Chevalier Emery	G	25	4-7	0-3	3-4	0	1	0	0	11
Chase McKey	F	23	4-7	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	0	10
CJ Hyland	G	23	3-6	0-1	0-0	3	3	2	0	6
Brandon Morgan	G	17	1-6	1-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Vernon Collins	F	11	0-0	0-0	2-4	4	0	0	0	2
Fischer Brown	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

106.4Offensive Efficiency110.8

110.8Defensive Efficiency106.4

-4.4Net Efficiency4.4

44.4%Effective FG%50.8%

49.7%True Shooting %54.6%

13.1%Turnover Rate11.7%

34.9%Free Throw Rate29.5%

36.5%3-Point Rate39.3%

1.22Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Western Carolina won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.