Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

77.0%Toledo

23.0%Eastern Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -335

Eastern Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 80

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreEastern Michigan 73

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricEastern Michigan

58.8MMH Power Index43.4

116.0Offensive Efficiency102.4

109.6Defensive Efficiency106.6

6.4Net Efficiency-4.2

2.3Strength of Schedule1.4

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

69.8Tempo69.0

55.1%Effective FG%49.9%

14.6%Turnover Rate17.3%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

30.3%Free Throw Rate30.3%

4.5Average Margin-2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–43.4), offensive efficiency (116.0–102.4), net efficiency (6.4–-4.2), strength of schedule (2.3–1.4).

Eastern Michigan COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.6–109.6).

Final

Toledo

73—80

Eastern Michigan

Eastern Michigan by 7 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATEastern Michigan

27-62FG31-56

44.0%FG%55.0%

8-223PT9-14

36.0%3PT%64.0%

11-16FT9-10

69.0%FT%90.0%

33Rebounds31

13Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists7

10Turnovers10

6Steals3

3Blocks3

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Adams	Guard	28	4-8	2-2	3-4	4	3	2	1	13
Sam Lewis	G	38	4-12	2-6	2-4	2	3	1	0	12
Sonny Wilson	G	32	4-13	0-3	2-4	5	3	1	0	10
Bryce Ford	G	28	4-12	2-6	0-0	6	0	0	0	10
Seth Hubbard	G	17	4-6	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	10
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	15	3-6	1-2	0-0	5	0	0	2	7
Javan Simmons	F	26	2-3	0-1	2-2	5	2	2	0	6
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	9	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Grgur Brcic	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Eastern Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Terry	Guard	40	15-17	6-7	2-3	8	2	0	1	38
Da'Sean Nelson	Forward	32	9-22	0-2	3-3	6	2	3	1	21
Jalin Billingsley	Forward	21	2-6	0-1	4-4	5	1	0	0	8
Arne Osojnik	G	28	3-5	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	7
Christian Henry	G	32	1-5	1-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Yusuf Jihad	Forward	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Dillon Tingler	G	21	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
John Shanu II	C	19	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

111.1Offensive Efficiency121.8

121.8Defensive Efficiency111.1

-10.7Net Efficiency10.7

50.0%Effective FG%63.4%

52.4%True Shooting %65.8%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.4%

25.8%Free Throw Rate17.9%

35.5%3-Point Rate25.0%

1.20Assist / Turnover0.70

Game Summary

Eastern Michigan won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.