Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.3%Northern Arizona

76.7%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSacramento State -7.7

PROJECTED TOTAL156.7

MODEL MONEYLINESacramento State -329

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 74

Projected Total156.7

Projected ScoreSacramento State 82

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricSacramento State

36.9MMH Power Index43

107.1Offensive Efficiency106.1

114.8Defensive Efficiency112.0

-7.7Net Efficiency-5.9

-1.8Strength of Schedule0.9

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

66.6Tempo73.2

53.5%Effective FG%48.5%

15.8%Turnover Rate14.2%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

33.6%Free Throw Rate41.8%

-5.1Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Sacramento State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSacramento State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.0–36.9), defensive efficiency (112.0–114.8), net efficiency (-5.9–-7.7), strength of schedule (0.9–-1.8).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.1–106.1), shooting efficiency (53.5–48.5).

Final

Northern Arizona

65—61

Sacramento State

Northern Arizona by 4 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATSacramento State

23-54FG23-50

43.0%FG%46.0%

9-263PT9-25

35.0%3PT%36.0%

10-18FT6-6

56.0%FT%100.0%

28Rebounds36

8Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists18

12Turnovers20

14Steals8

2Blocks3

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	40	7-20	3-9	3-3	1	4	4	1	20
Carson Towt	F	40	6-9	0-0	2-8	10	6	4	1	14
Ryan Abelman	G	27	3-4	2-3	2-3	5	1	2	0	10
Dillan Baker	G	19	3-6	2-5	1-2	3	2	1	0	9
Diego Campisano	F	25	2-8	1-5	0-0	3	0	1	0	5
Monty Bowser	G	24	1-4	1-3	2-2	2	2	0	0	5
Leigh Rickwood-Pitt	Forward	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Oakland Fort	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	2	0	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Holt	Forward	25	7-9	3-4	0-0	13	1	0	1	17
EJ Neal Jr.	G	40	5-13	4-11	2-2	6	6	2	0	16
Lachlan Brewer	G	40	4-7	1-2	2-2	10	2	2	0	11
Emil Skytta	G	36	3-8	0-2	2-2	2	2	1	0	8
Leo Ricketts	Guard	40	2-10	1-6	0-0	3	5	3	0	5
Chudi Dioramma	F	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	2	2
Michael Wilson	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

98.0Offensive Efficiency92.0

92.0Defensive Efficiency98.0

6.0Net Efficiency-6.0

50.9%Effective FG%55.0%

52.0%True Shooting %57.7%

18.0%Turnover Rate30.4%

33.3%Free Throw Rate12.0%

48.1%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.25Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Northern Arizona won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.