Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.0%Northern Colorado

53.0%Portland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -113

Portland State

20-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 77

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScorePortland State 79

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricPortland State

53.7MMH Power Index50.2

116.0Offensive Efficiency109.3

107.6Defensive Efficiency100.2

8.4Net Efficiency9.1

-4.3Strength of Schedule-5.6

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

71.1Tempo70.1

56.9%Effective FG%51.7%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.6%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

27.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

6.0Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–50.2), offensive efficiency (116.0–109.3), strength of schedule (-4.3–-5.6), recent form (10.8–0.4).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.2–107.6), net efficiency (9.1–8.4), offensive rebounding (31.6–27.9).

Final

Northern Colorado

71—82

Portland State

Portland State by 11 • 74.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATPortland State

26-61FG30-59

43.0%FG%51.0%

8-223PT9-19

36.0%3PT%47.0%

11-18FT13-18

61.0%FT%72.0%

35Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds6

13Assists19

13Turnovers14

6Steals9

1Blocks7

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Hawthorne	Forward	37	7-12	1-5	4-9	8	0	1	0	19
Jaron Rillie	Guard	37	6-12	3-6	4-5	4	4	1	0	19
Langston Reynolds	G	37	4-10	0-1	1-1	6	3	1	1	9
Quinn Denker	G	25	3-7	1-2	2-3	4	1	1	0	9
Marcell McCreary	G	21	2-6	2-4	0-0	1	2	1	0	6
Zach Bloch	G	21	2-5	1-4	0-0	3	2	1	0	5
Brock Wisne	F	20	2-7	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	0	4
Taeshaud Jackson	F	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Henderson	G	37	9-15	1-3	2-3	7	7	1	0	21
Qiant Myers	Guard	38	5-12	3-3	3-5	1	6	2	1	16
Cole Farrell	G	27	5-10	2-6	3-3	3	2	1	1	15
Terri Miller Jr.	F	18	5-11	1-3	2-2	1	2	2	0	13
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	32	3-4	0-0	1-3	10	0	1	4	7
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	36	1-4	1-2	2-2	6	2	2	0	5
Isaac Brice	F	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Shane Nowell	Guard	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

74.6Possessions74.6

95.2Offensive Efficiency109.9

109.9Defensive Efficiency95.2

-14.7Net Efficiency14.7

49.2%Effective FG%58.5%

51.0%True Shooting %60.7%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.5%

29.5%Free Throw Rate30.5%

36.1%3-Point Rate32.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Portland State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 74.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.