North Florida

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.7%North Florida

92.3%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -18.3

PROJECTED TOTAL166.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -1199

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Florida 74

Projected Total166.5

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 92

Team Comparison

North FloridaMetricCentral Arkansas

36.3MMH Power Index54

109.4Offensive Efficiency113.9

121.1Defensive Efficiency105.2

-11.7Net Efficiency8.7

-0.6Strength of Schedule-3.9

-9.3Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

72.8Tempo71.0

53.6%Effective FG%54.3%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

29.5%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-8.6Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–36.3), offensive efficiency (113.9–109.4), defensive efficiency (105.2–121.1), net efficiency (8.7–-11.7).

North Florida COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-3.9).

Final

North Florida

83—84

Central Arkansas

Central Arkansas by 1 • 74.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North FloridaTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

28-75FG28-61

37.0%FG%46.0%

20-523PT7-25

38.0%3PT%28.0%

7-10FT21-25

70.0%FT%84.0%

40Rebounds43

17Offensive Rebounds13

24Assists17

13Turnovers14

9Steals11

4Blocks8

20Fouls12

Player Box Score

North Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Lliteras	Guard	40	7-14	3-7	2-2	11	1	2	3	19
Kamrin Oriol	G	31	6-12	6-12	0-0	3	3	1	1	18
Liam Murphy	F	30	5-14	4-11	0-0	3	4	2	0	14
Jasai Miles	G	38	4-15	3-10	0-0	5	3	0	0	11
Jaylen Smith	G	41	3-8	3-8	0-0	6	10	4	0	9
Josh Harris	F	18	2-9	0-2	5-6	4	1	0	0	9
Oscar Berry	Guard	21	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Ametri Moss	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Dante Oliver	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mike Evbagharu	G	41	8-12	2-5	5-7	10	6	3	0	23
Cole McCormick	F	43	5-9	3-6	6-7	4	2	2	1	19
Nehemiah Turner	F	29	5-11	0-1	7-7	5	0	1	5	17
Brayden Fagbemi	G	36	6-13	2-7	2-2	5	7	2	0	16
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	11	3-5	0-0	1-2	3	0	2	1	7
Diogo Seixas	Forward	8	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Owen Derhmann	G	26	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Ben Fox	Guard	19	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Ethan Thomas	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jabari West Jr.	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.9Possessions74.9

110.8Offensive Efficiency112.1

112.1Defensive Efficiency110.8

-1.3Net Efficiency1.3

50.7%Effective FG%51.6%

52.0%True Shooting %57.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate19.0%

13.3%Free Throw Rate41.0%

69.3%3-Point Rate41.0%

1.85Assist / Turnover1.21

Game Summary

Central Arkansas won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 74.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.