North Carolina

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

71.9%North Carolina

28.1%Syracuse

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -256

Syracuse

15-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 79

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreSyracuse 74

Team Comparison

North CarolinaMetricSyracuse

65.2MMH Power Index52.2

115.5Offensive Efficiency109.2

103.8Defensive Efficiency106.6

11.7Net Efficiency2.6

7.6Strength of Schedule5.6

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-15.1

69.0Tempo69.0

54.6%Effective FG%52.9%

13.9%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %29.0%

38.1%Free Throw Rate36.2%

8.1Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–52.2), offensive efficiency (115.5–109.2), defensive efficiency (103.8–106.6), net efficiency (11.7–2.6).

Final

North Carolina

88—82

Syracuse

North Carolina by 6 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATSyracuse

30-61FG29-66

49.0%FG%44.0%

13-283PT4-13

46.0%3PT%31.0%

15-23FT20-22

65.0%FT%91.0%

36Rebounds40

13Offensive Rebounds15

16Assists15

9Turnovers10

5Steals3

8Blocks2

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ian Jackson	G	29	8-15	5-10	2-6	4	0	1	1	23
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	24	7-10	3-4	2-2	6	1	0	3	19
RJ Davis	Guard	38	4-11	3-9	5-6	5	6	2	1	16
Elliot Cadeau	G	18	3-5	0-0	3-5	3	4	0	0	9
Jalen Washington	C	21	2-3	1-2	1-2	4	1	0	1	6
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	19	3-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Drake Powell	Guard	25	1-3	1-2	2-2	2	3	0	2	5
Seth Trimble	G	26	2-8	0-1	0-0	8	1	2	0	4

Syracuse

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eddie Lampkin Jr.	Center	34	9-14	0-1	8-9	11	0	0	0	26
J.J. Starling	G	29	6-16	0-2	10-10	6	4	2	0	22
Lucas Taylor	Guard	26	4-4	2-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	10
Jyare Davis	Forward	15	4-8	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	9
Petar Majstorovic	F	25	3-4	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	1	7
Jaquan Carlos	Guard	33	1-7	0-1	1-1	1	7	0	1	3
Chris Bell	F	18	1-4	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Naheem McLeod	Center	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Elijah Moore	G	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Kyle Cuffe Jr.	G	7	0-5	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

126.3Offensive Efficiency117.6

117.6Defensive Efficiency126.3

8.6Net Efficiency-8.6

59.8%Effective FG%47.0%

61.2%True Shooting %53.6%

13.2%Turnover Rate14.0%

37.7%Free Throw Rate33.3%

45.9%3-Point Rate19.7%

1.78Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.