Wake Forest

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.8%Wake Forest

74.2%SMU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSMU -8.1

PROJECTED TOTAL163.1

MODEL MONEYLINESMU -288

SMU

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWake Forest 78

Projected Total163.1

Projected ScoreSMU 86

Team Comparison

Wake ForestMetricSMU

57.6MMH Power Index62.5

112.4Offensive Efficiency118.2

109.7Defensive Efficiency109.6

2.7Net Efficiency8.6

7.2Strength of Schedule7.0

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

70.2Tempo71.1

52.8%Effective FG%55.7%

15.5%Turnover Rate15.7%

30.0%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

36.1%Free Throw Rate31.3%

1.9Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

SMU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSMU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (62.5–57.6), offensive efficiency (118.2–112.4), defensive efficiency (109.6–109.7), net efficiency (8.6–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.2–7.0), recent form (-0.1–-1.3), ball security (15.5–15.7).

Final

Wake Forest

77—66

SMU

Wake Forest by 11 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wake ForestTEAM STATSMU

24-54FG22-61

44.0%FG%36.0%

7-233PT8-35

30.0%3PT%23.0%

22-30FT14-22

73.0%FT%64.0%

38Rebounds38

12Offensive Rebounds17

15Assists17

9Turnovers10

5Steals6

3Blocks3

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hunter Sallis	Guard	39	4-15	1-7	11-14	9	6	2	1	20
Parker Friedrichsen	G	30	6-9	5-7	1-2	4	1	1	0	18
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	30	4-5	0-0	4-5	0	2	1	0	12
Efton Reid III	Forward	38	3-8	1-3	3-5	8	2	0	2	10
Juke Harris	G	26	4-11	0-4	1-2	5	1	1	0	9
Tre'Von Spillers	F	35	3-6	0-2	2-2	11	3	0	0	8
Omaha Biliew	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

SMU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chuck Harris	Guard	37	5-16	3-10	2-2	2	6	1	0	15
Kario Oquendo	Guard	32	4-13	2-9	3-6	9	1	1	0	13
B.J. Edwards	G	38	4-14	0-6	4-5	6	5	2	0	12
Matt Cross	Forward	39	4-10	3-9	0-0	9	1	1	1	11
AJ George	G	6	2-2	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	6
Samet Yigitoglu	C	29	1-2	0-0	2-5	1	1	0	1	4
Tibet Gorener	Forward	5	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Keon Ambrose-Hylton	Forward	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Jerrell Colbert	F	11	0-0	0-0	1-2	6	1	1	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

118.6Offensive Efficiency101.7

101.7Defensive Efficiency118.6

16.9Net Efficiency-16.9

50.9%Effective FG%42.6%

56.4%True Shooting %46.2%

13.8%Turnover Rate15.5%

55.6%Free Throw Rate36.1%

42.6%3-Point Rate57.4%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Wake Forest won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.