Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.8%Villanova

48.2%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL162.9

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -107

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 82

Projected Total162.9

Projected ScoreProvidence 81

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricProvidence

59.4MMH Power Index54.2

114.7Offensive Efficiency115.0

105.9Defensive Efficiency113.2

8.8Net Efficiency1.8

4.4Strength of Schedule4.0

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

67.3Tempo74.2

53.9%Effective FG%55.0%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.7%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

31.4%Free Throw Rate37.3%

5.9Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–54.2), defensive efficiency (105.9–113.2), net efficiency (8.8–1.8), strength of schedule (4.4–4.0).

Providence COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–114.7), shooting efficiency (55.0–53.9), free throw rate (37.3–31.4).

Final

Villanova

62—75

Providence

Providence by 13 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATProvidence

23-53FG23-44

43.0%FG%52.0%

5-193PT13-27

26.0%3PT%48.0%

11-13FT16-28

85.0%FT%57.0%

30Rebounds30

6Offensive Rebounds4

7Assists17

9Turnovers12

6Steals5

—Blocks4

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Wooga Poplar	Guard	38	6-12	2-5	4-5	9	1	2	18
Jordan Longino	Guard	37	7-14	0-1	4-4	1	3	0	18
Eric Dixon	Forward	34	6-15	1-7	2-2	9	1	1	15
Jhamir Brickus	Guard	34	3-8	2-3	1-2	2	1	1	9
Enoch Boakye	Forward	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2
Tyler Perkins	G	30	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	1	2	0
Josiah Moseley	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Jordann Dumont	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Pierre	G	40	6-14	5-9	2-5	3	4	0	1	19
Bensley Joseph	Guard	38	5-9	2-6	5-6	6	6	1	0	17
Ryan Mela	G	32	3-5	1-1	5-8	9	6	3	0	12
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	31	3-4	0-0	4-9	3	1	0	2	10
Rich Barron	F	30	3-7	3-7	0-0	5	0	1	0	9
Justyn Fernandez	G	16	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Eli DeLaurier	F	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	3
Christ Essandoko	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

97.2Offensive Efficiency117.6

117.6Defensive Efficiency97.2

-20.4Net Efficiency20.4

48.1%Effective FG%67.0%

52.4%True Shooting %65.4%

14.5%Turnover Rate18.4%

24.5%Free Throw Rate63.6%

35.8%3-Point Rate61.4%

0.78Assist / Turnover1.42

Game Summary

Providence won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.