Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.7%Alabama State

64.3%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas-Pine Bluff -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL157.4

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas-Pine Bluff -180

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 76

Projected Total157.4

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 81

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricArkansas-Pine Bluff

38MMH Power Index38.7

101.7Offensive Efficiency106.4

107.4Defensive Efficiency111.6

-5.7Net Efficiency-5.2

-6.2Strength of Schedule-6.0

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

71.9Tempo72.6

48.2%Effective FG%51.4%

18.2%Turnover Rate18.5%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

35.8%Free Throw Rate37.7%

-4.1Average Margin-3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas-Pine Bluff HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas-Pine Bluff holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.7–38.0), offensive efficiency (106.4–101.7), net efficiency (-5.2–-5.7), strength of schedule (-6.0–-6.2).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.4–111.6), ball security (18.2–18.5), offensive rebounding (32.6–29.3).

Final

Alabama State

75—63

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Alabama State by 12 • 74.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATArkansas-Pine Bluff

24-66FG23-61

36.0%FG%38.0%

9-293PT12-29

31.0%3PT%41.0%

18-28FT5-10

64.0%FT%50.0%

47Rebounds40

15Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists17

10Turnovers17

10Steals5

8Blocks3

14Fouls21

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Madlock	Guard	36	8-15	1-4	3-7	8	1	1	1	20
Micah Simpson	G	21	3-7	3-7	4-4	2	0	0	0	13
CJ Hines	G	34	5-12	2-5	0-0	6	5	4	0	12
D'Ante Bass	Forward	23	3-8	2-5	3-5	9	1	1	1	11
Amarr Knox	G	21	3-10	0-2	4-6	1	0	3	0	10
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	6	2-3	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
JaSteven Walker	F	22	0-6	0-3	2-2	9	0	0	5	2
Ubong Okon	C	14	0-0	0-0	2-4	6	0	0	1	2
Micah Octave	G	16	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	2	1	0	0
Tyler Mack	G	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyle Brown	F	23	5-15	2-5	1-1	5	1	0	1	13
Caleb Jones	Guard	21	4-9	3-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	11
Doctor Bradley	G	31	4-9	0-0	2-5	11	4	2	2	10
Zachary Reinhart	G	27	3-5	3-5	0-0	4	1	1	0	9
Quentin Bolton	G	24	2-5	1-2	1-2	5	0	0	0	6
Chop Paljor	Guard	21	2-8	2-7	0-0	4	2	1	0	6
Christian Moore	Guard	11	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	4	0	0	4
Landon Johnson	Guard	8	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Dante Sawyer	Guard	20	0-2	0-1	1-2	3	3	0	0	1
Dennis Asoro	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Raphael Dumont	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.1Possessions74.1

101.2Offensive Efficiency85.0

85.0Defensive Efficiency101.2

16.2Net Efficiency-16.2

43.2%Effective FG%47.5%

47.3%True Shooting %47.9%

13.5%Turnover Rate23.1%

42.4%Free Throw Rate16.4%

43.9%3-Point Rate47.5%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Alabama State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 74.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.