Belmont

26-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.3%Belmont

42.7%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -134

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBelmont 77

Projected Total151.8

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 75

Team Comparison

BelmontMetricSouthern Illinois

61.8MMH Power Index54.6

118.6Offensive Efficiency103.4

103.7Defensive Efficiency98.5

14.9Net Efficiency4.9

-0.2Strength of Schedule1.6

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

70.7Tempo70.6

60.7%Effective FG%49.5%

17.8%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

32.7%Free Throw Rate32.3%

10.5Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–54.6), offensive efficiency (118.6–103.4), net efficiency (14.9–4.9), recent form (10.0–7.7).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.5–103.7), strength of schedule (1.6–-0.2), ball security (17.0–17.8).

Final

Belmont

73—68

Southern Illinois

Belmont by 5 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BelmontTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

26-59FG27-54

44.0%FG%50.0%

11-263PT6-20

42.0%3PT%30.0%

10-18FT8-15

56.0%FT%53.0%

29Rebounds39

7Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists19

6Turnovers11

5Steals4

3Blocks2

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Lundblade	G	37	6-11	6-8	1-1	1	0	2	1	19
Carter Whitt	Guard	34	6-16	2-6	3-5	3	4	2	0	17
Jonathan Pierre	Forward	30	3-10	0-5	4-6	6	4	0	1	10
Brody Peebles	Guard	14	4-7	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	10
Isaiah Walker	G	36	2-5	0-0	1-1	7	3	1	0	5
Aidan Noyes	F	15	2-4	1-2	0-2	2	0	0	1	5
Drew Scharnowski	F	9	2-2	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	5
Brigham Rogers	F	25	1-4	0-1	0-2	5	2	0	0	2

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ali Dibba	G	40	10-16	2-3	2-3	8	2	0	0	24
Kennard Davis Jr.	F	27	5-10	2-6	1-2	4	1	1	0	13
Drew Steffe	G	39	4-10	2-6	0-1	5	4	0	1	10
Sheridan Sharp	G	29	3-6	0-2	0-0	3	6	0	0	6
Davion Sykes	G	23	3-5	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	1	6
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	24	1-5	0-3	2-3	10	2	1	0	4
Jorge Moreno	F	11	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	4	2	0	3
Rolyns Aligbe	F	7	0-1	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

111.6Offensive Efficiency104.0

104.0Defensive Efficiency111.6

7.6Net Efficiency-7.6

53.4%Effective FG%55.6%

54.0%True Shooting %55.6%

9.0%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.5%Free Throw Rate27.8%

44.1%3-Point Rate37.0%

2.17Assist / Turnover1.73

Game Summary

Belmont won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.