Elon

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.6%Elon

88.4%UNC Wilmington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Wilmington -13.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -762

UNC Wilmington

27-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreElon 69

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 83

Team Comparison

ElonMetricUNC Wilmington

45.5MMH Power Index59.2

113.0Offensive Efficiency114.1

112.7Defensive Efficiency101.7

0.3Net Efficiency12.4

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.5

-13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency5.5

69.1Tempo66.9

52.6%Effective FG%51.1%

15.6%Turnover Rate14.8%

33.4%Offensive Rebound %35.8%

34.0%Free Throw Rate41.7%

0.3Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Wilmington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Wilmington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.2–45.5), offensive efficiency (114.1–113.0), defensive efficiency (101.7–112.7), net efficiency (12.4–0.3).

Elon COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-1.5), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.1).

Final

Elon

81—70

UNC Wilmington

Elon by 11 • 59.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ElonTEAM STATUNC Wilmington

27-48FG29-63

56.0%FG%46.0%

15-273PT8-25

56.0%3PT%32.0%

12-14FT4-4

86.0%FT%100.0%

30Rebounds26

9Offensive Rebounds13

16Assists20

13Turnovers8

6Steals7

6Blocks2

9Fouls13

Player Box Score

Elon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Takai Simpkins	G	34	11-15	8-10	2-2	4	4	0	0	32
Tajuan Simpkins	G	34	3-6	2-4	5-6	4	4	2	0	13
Isaac Harrell	F	22	3-6	3-5	2-2	2	0	0	0	11
Sam Sherry	Forward	35	4-11	1-5	1-2	2	0	0	1	10
Matt Van Komen	C	33	3-5	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	5	6
Drew King	G	30	2-4	0-2	2-2	7	7	3	0	6
Brayden Crump	F	10	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Kendall Campbell	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sean Moore	Forward	30	10-16	5-10	3-3	8	1	2	1	28
Nolan Hodge	G	29	9-16	0-4	0-0	6	1	0	0	18
Khamari McGriff	F	18	3-7	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	7
Greedy Williams	G	27	3-7	0-0	0-0	2	5	0	0	6
Bo Montgomery	Guard	19	2-7	2-4	0-0	1	3	1	0	6
Noah Ross	G	27	1-2	1-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	3
Donovan Newby	Not Available	27	1-7	0-5	0-0	2	7	2	0	2
Harlan Obioha	C	23	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	2	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.3Possessions59.3

136.6Offensive Efficiency118.0

118.0Defensive Efficiency136.6

18.5Net Efficiency-18.5

71.9%Effective FG%52.4%

74.1%True Shooting %53.9%

22.2%Turnover Rate13.4%

29.2%Free Throw Rate6.3%

56.3%3-Point Rate39.7%

1.23Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Elon won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 59.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.