TCU

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.3%TCU

38.7%Arizona State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTCU -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL154.5

MODEL MONEYLINETCU -158

Arizona State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTCU 79

Projected Total154.5

Projected ScoreArizona State 76

Team Comparison

TCUMetricArizona State

59.7MMH Power Index51

110.2Offensive Efficiency108.1

102.7Defensive Efficiency110.9

7.5Net Efficiency-2.8

4.6Strength of Schedule7.0

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.5

70.2Tempo70.6

50.5%Effective FG%51.3%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.1%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

38.3%Free Throw Rate40.2%

5.3Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

TCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.7–51.0), offensive efficiency (110.2–108.1), defensive efficiency (102.7–110.9), net efficiency (7.5–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–4.6), shooting efficiency (51.3–50.5), free throw rate (40.2–38.3).

Final

TCU

74—70

Arizona State

TCU by 4 • 75.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TCUTEAM STATArizona State

23-52FG25-57

44.0%FG%44.0%

5-203PT9-27

25.0%3PT%33.0%

23-31FT11-14

74.0%FT%79.0%

39Rebounds27

8Offensive Rebounds3

7Assists15

17Turnovers14

7Steals9

4Blocks3

16Fouls21

Player Box Score

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jace Posey	G	30	6-8	0-0	8-10	6	0	2	0	20
Noah Reynolds	Guard	34	6-14	2-4	5-7	2	2	0	0	19
Vasean Allette	PG	28	3-7	1-2	7-8	9	3	0	1	14
Brendan Wenzel	Guard	27	4-9	1-6	0-0	1	0	4	0	9
Trazarien White	Forward	20	2-5	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
David Punch	F	22	2-2	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	2	4
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	16	0-0	0-0	3-4	6	1	0	1	3
Micah Robinson	F	17	0-6	0-4	0-2	1	0	1	0	0
Malick Diallo	C	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
BJ Freeman	Guard	35	8-16	5-12	0-1	2	2	1	0	21
Alston Mason	Guard	40	3-10	2-5	4-4	0	9	1	0	12
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	23	6-8	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	3	12
Basheer Jihad	Forward	35	4-9	0-2	3-5	4	3	2	0	11
Amier Ali	G	25	2-5	1-3	2-2	3	0	1	0	7
Adam Miller	G	21	1-4	0-1	2-2	1	1	3	0	4
Joson Sanon	G	21	1-5	1-4	0-0	4	0	1	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

75.2Possessions75.2

98.4Offensive Efficiency93.1

93.1Defensive Efficiency98.4

5.3Net Efficiency-5.3

49.0%Effective FG%51.8%

55.5%True Shooting %55.0%

22.4%Turnover Rate18.8%

59.6%Free Throw Rate24.6%

38.5%3-Point Rate47.4%

0.41Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

TCU won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 75.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.