Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.3%Idaho State

79.7%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -10.5

PROJECTED TOTAL152.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -393

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 71

Projected Total152.0

Projected ScoreMontana State 81

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricMontana State

45.9MMH Power Index53.6

111.0Offensive Efficiency114.4

113.4Defensive Efficiency104.9

-2.4Net Efficiency9.5

0.2Strength of Schedule-3.7

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

67.1Tempo68.1

52.2%Effective FG%55.1%

16.5%Turnover Rate14.7%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

39.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-1.6Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–45.9), offensive efficiency (114.4–111.0), defensive efficiency (104.9–113.4), net efficiency (9.5–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-3.7), offensive rebounding (33.9–28.1), free throw rate (39.1–30.7).

Final

Idaho State

69—74

Montana State

Montana State by 5 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATMontana State

24-64FG24-51

38.0%FG%47.0%

8-193PT7-25

42.0%3PT%28.0%

13-17FT19-24

76.0%FT%79.0%

36Rebounds26

12Offensive Rebounds4

7Assists14

12Turnovers7

4Steals7

—Blocks7

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Dylan Darling	G	37	8-23	4-6	7-9	4	4	1	27
Jake O'Neil	Guard	37	8-15	1-3	1-2	7	1	3	18
Connor Hollenbeck	F	28	3-7	1-2	1-2	5	0	0	8
AJ Burgin	Guard	26	2-7	2-6	0-0	6	1	0	6
Evan Otten	F	22	0-1	0-0	4-4	3	1	0	4
Jackson Greene	Forward	20	2-5	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	4
Blake Daberkow	F	11	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2
Isaiah Griffin	F	19	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jabe Mullins	Guard	28	6-11	3-6	2-2	1	1	1	0	17
Brandon Walker	F	21	4-7	0-2	7-8	2	4	1	2	15
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	30	5-11	2-7	2-3	7	1	0	1	14
Patrick McMahon	G	21	2-6	0-3	7-9	3	0	0	0	11
Sam Lecholat	Forward	23	3-6	0-1	1-2	4	1	0	1	7
Tyler Patterson	Guard	23	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	1	4	1	6
Bryce Zephir	G	27	2-5	0-1	0-0	4	4	1	1	4
Brian Goracke	Forward	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Jed Miller	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
BJ Kolly	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	0
Chika Nduka	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

100.3Offensive Efficiency107.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency100.3

-7.3Net Efficiency7.3

43.8%Effective FG%53.9%

47.9%True Shooting %59.3%

16.6%Turnover Rate10.7%

26.6%Free Throw Rate47.1%

29.7%3-Point Rate49.0%

0.58Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Montana State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.