Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.9%Cal Poly

71.1%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL169.7

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -246

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 81

Projected Total169.7

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 89

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricCal State Northridge

46.5MMH Power Index50

107.2Offensive Efficiency107.3

111.0Defensive Efficiency105.2

-3.8Net Efficiency2.1

1.7Strength of Schedule-0.6

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

76.6Tempo75.9

52.2%Effective FG%51.0%

19.8%Turnover Rate17.3%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

35.8%Free Throw Rate34.7%

-2.9Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–46.5), offensive efficiency (107.3–107.2), defensive efficiency (105.2–111.0), net efficiency (2.1–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-0.6), recent form (2.4–1.8), shooting efficiency (52.2–51.0).

Final

Cal Poly

85—89

Cal State Northridge

Cal State Northridge by 4 • 85.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATCal State Northridge

29-65FG35-74

45.0%FG%47.0%

14-393PT9-26

36.0%3PT%35.0%

13-17FT10-13

76.0%FT%77.0%

31Rebounds47

8Offensive Rebounds18

16Assists22

21Turnovers23

13Steals7

2Blocks3

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Owen Koonce	Guard	35	7-16	0-6	7-9	10	1	4	1	21
Isaac Jessup	Guard	31	6-12	6-11	0-0	3	4	5	0	18
Jarred Hyder	Guard	34	4-17	3-13	0-0	3	7	1	0	11
Cayden Ward	G	17	3-3	1-1	4-4	1	0	1	1	11
Mac Riniker	Guard	25	4-5	1-2	0-2	3	2	2	0	9
Guzman Vasilic	G	22	3-6	2-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Peter Bandelj	G	27	2-6	1-1	2-2	4	2	0	0	7
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Scotty Washington	G	35	10-16	5-8	4-4	4	2	0	0	29
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	33	7-13	1-5	2-2	10	3	1	0	17
Keonte Jones	G	36	8-18	0-2	0-1	12	4	1	2	16
Tyler Beard	Guard	27	3-6	2-3	1-2	5	7	2	0	9
Grady Lewis	F	13	3-7	0-0	2-2	7	1	0	0	8
Jordan Brinson	G	16	2-5	1-4	0-0	2	2	0	0	5
PJ Fuller II	Guard	15	2-6	0-4	0-0	0	1	3	0	4
Mahmoud Fofana	F	21	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	2	0	1	1
Festus Ndumanya	Forward	2	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Judson Martindale	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jalen Barbee	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

85.7Possessions85.7

99.2Offensive Efficiency103.9

103.9Defensive Efficiency99.2

-4.7Net Efficiency4.7

55.4%Effective FG%53.4%

58.2%True Shooting %55.5%

24.4%Turnover Rate27.0%

26.2%Free Throw Rate17.6%

60.0%3-Point Rate35.1%

0.76Assist / Turnover0.96

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 85.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.