Middle Tennessee

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.8%Middle Tennessee

70.2%Western Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Kentucky -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.2

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Kentucky -236

Western Kentucky

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 74

Projected Total154.2

Projected ScoreWestern Kentucky 80

Team Comparison

Middle TennesseeMetricWestern Kentucky

52.5MMH Power Index55.6

109.6Offensive Efficiency110.6

105.7Defensive Efficiency106.2

3.9Net Efficiency4.4

0.4Strength of Schedule1.7

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

68.8Tempo71.7

52.2%Effective FG%48.6%

16.7%Turnover Rate14.5%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

33.2%Free Throw Rate42.9%

2.7Average Margin3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.6–52.5), offensive efficiency (110.6–109.6), net efficiency (4.4–3.9), strength of schedule (1.7–0.4).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.7–106.2), shooting efficiency (52.2–48.6).

Final

Middle Tennessee

87—77

Western Kentucky

Middle Tennessee by 10 • 73.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Middle TennesseeTEAM STATWestern Kentucky

31-70FG30-79

44.0%FG%38.0%

9-293PT8-28

31.0%3PT%29.0%

16-22FT9-17

73.0%FT%53.0%

50Rebounds49

15Offensive Rebounds21

14Assists12

6Turnovers9

3Steals3

6Blocks3

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Essam Mostafa	Forward	33	8-11	0-0	5-10	16	2	0	1	21
Jlynn Counter	G	36	8-17	4-10	0-0	4	1	0	0	20
Camryn Weston	Guard	32	6-18	3-10	5-5	4	7	1	1	20
Jestin Porter	G	37	5-12	2-6	2-2	9	2	1	0	14
Torey Alston	F	29	4-9	0-0	4-5	7	0	1	2	12
Justin Bufford	Guard	19	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	1	0
Tre Green	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Chris Loofe	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Western Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Don McHenry	G	33	7-17	3-7	3-3	5	2	0	1	20
Khristian Lander	Guard	30	8-15	1-5	1-3	9	3	1	0	18
Enoch Kalambay	G	26	5-13	1-6	3-6	3	1	0	0	14
Braxton Bayless	G	32	4-12	2-5	1-3	3	1	0	0	11
Leeroy Odiahi	F	19	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	2	6
Tyrone Marshall Jr.	F	24	1-10	1-4	1-2	7	3	2	0	4
Blaise Keita	F	19	1-3	0-0	0-0	10	0	0	0	2
Jalen Jackson	Guard	15	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Jack Edelen	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.3Possessions73.3

118.7Offensive Efficiency105.0

105.0Defensive Efficiency118.7

13.6Net Efficiency-13.6

50.7%Effective FG%43.0%

54.1%True Shooting %44.2%

8.4%Turnover Rate12.0%

31.4%Free Throw Rate21.5%

41.4%3-Point Rate35.4%

2.33Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 73.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.