Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.0%Boise State

64.0%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -178

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 73

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 79

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricSan Diego State

59.5MMH Power Index60.1

113.9Offensive Efficiency110.3

107.1Defensive Efficiency99.3

6.8Net Efficiency11.0

4.2Strength of Schedule3.8

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

68.6Tempo70.8

52.7%Effective FG%53.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.2%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

42.7%Free Throw Rate39.6%

4.7Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.9–110.3), strength of schedule (4.2–3.8), recent form (5.2–0.4), ball security (17.0–17.2).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (60.1–59.5), defensive efficiency (99.3–107.1), net efficiency (11.0–6.8).

Final

Boise State

45—64

San Diego State

San Diego State by 19 • 61.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATSan Diego State

18-54FG26-48

33.0%FG%54.0%

3-183PT5-12

17.0%3PT%42.0%

6-11FT7-11

55.0%FT%64.0%

31Rebounds30

13Offensive Rebounds5

6Assists7

14Turnovers15

6Steals6

—Blocks10

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	39	6-16	0-5	5-7	12	1	0	17
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	39	3-8	1-3	1-3	0	3	1	8
Andrew Meadow	F	30	3-7	1-2	0-0	3	0	1	7
Pearson Carmichael	F	17	3-8	1-4	0-1	0	2	0	7
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	15	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	4
Javan Buchanan	F	14	1-5	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	2
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	16	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
RJ Keene II	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	0
Julian Bowie	G	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Dylan Anderson	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Boyd	G	36	10-14	2-5	2-2	6	2	0	0	24
Miles Byrd	G	33	4-10	1-4	1-2	4	1	2	2	10
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	19	4-6	1-1	1-3	4	0	1	0	10
Magoon Gwath	F	34	4-6	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	6	8
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	26	2-4	0-0	3-4	5	3	0	0	7
BJ Davis	G	24	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	1	1	1	5
Miles Heide	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Pharaoh Compton	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Taj DeGourville	G	8	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.7Possessions61.7

72.9Offensive Efficiency103.7

103.7Defensive Efficiency72.9

-30.8Net Efficiency30.8

36.1%Effective FG%59.4%

38.0%True Shooting %60.1%

23.2%Turnover Rate23.7%

20.4%Free Throw Rate22.9%

33.3%3-Point Rate25.0%

0.43Assist / Turnover0.47

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 61.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.