Mount St. Mary's

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.3%Mount St. Mary's

38.7%Canisius

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMount St. Mary's -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL134.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMount St. Mary's -158

Canisius

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMount St. Mary's 68

Projected Total134.3

Projected ScoreCanisius 66

Team Comparison

Mount St. Mary'sMetricCanisius

42.6MMH Power Index33.9

100.2Offensive Efficiency97.1

103.2Defensive Efficiency108.8

-3.0Net Efficiency-11.7

-3.1Strength of Schedule-1.8

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.0

67.9Tempo64.8

51.0%Effective FG%46.8%

22.4%Turnover Rate19.6%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

33.3%Free Throw Rate32.4%

-2.1Average Margin-7.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mount St. Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMount St. Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.6–33.9), offensive efficiency (100.2–97.1), defensive efficiency (103.2–108.8), net efficiency (-3.0–-11.7).

Canisius COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-3.1), ball security (19.6–22.4).

Final

Mount St. Mary's

73—66

Canisius

Mount St. Mary's by 7 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mount St. Mary'sTEAM STATCanisius

25-50FG23-58

50.0%FG%40.0%

10-233PT13-31

43.0%3PT%42.0%

13-18FT7-8

72.0%FT%88.0%

40Rebounds24

10Offensive Rebounds5

19Assists13

19Turnovers10

6Steals13

2Blocks1

11Fouls19

Player Box Score

Mount St. Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Arlandus Keyes	G	24	5-10	5-9	2-3	2	1	1	0	17
Jedy Cordilia	Forward	29	7-9	0-0	0-0	7	1	1	0	14
Dallas Hobbs	G	28	3-11	1-5	3-4	1	3	0	0	10
Carmelo Pacheco	G	31	3-6	3-6	0-0	1	3	0	0	9
Dola Adebayo	F	25	3-3	0-0	2-4	6	0	2	2	8
Xavier Lipscomb	G	26	1-5	0-2	5-5	7	6	2	0	7
Javon Ervin	Guard	9	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Terrell Ard Jr.	Forward	22	1-4	0-0	1-2	12	4	0	0	3
Abdou Khadre Kébé	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Canisius

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Paul McMillan IV	Guard	35	7-16	3-7	4-5	3	4	2	0	21
Tana Kopa	Guard	40	6-14	5-11	2-2	2	3	4	0	19
Gianni Thompson	Forward	23	3-5	2-2	1-1	2	3	0	1	9
Anthony Benard	G	33	3-5	1-2	0-0	1	3	5	0	7
Cameron Palesse	G	24	2-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	0	4
Dylan Godfrey	F	28	1-11	1-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Evan van der Plas	F	17	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

108.6Offensive Efficiency98.2

98.2Defensive Efficiency108.6

10.4Net Efficiency-10.4

60.0%Effective FG%50.9%

62.3%True Shooting %53.4%

28.1%Turnover Rate15.0%

36.0%Free Throw Rate13.8%

46.0%3-Point Rate53.4%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Mount St. Mary's won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.