Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.4%Missouri State

75.6%UIC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUIC -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUIC -310

UIC

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 70

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreUIC 79

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricUIC

51.1MMH Power Index56.7

110.5Offensive Efficiency110.5

108.4Defensive Efficiency103.3

2.1Net Efficiency7.2

0.5Strength of Schedule0.1

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency9.2

67.9Tempo68.3

51.8%Effective FG%50.9%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.6%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %36.8%

42.9%Free Throw Rate37.2%

1.4Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UIC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUIC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.7–51.1), defensive efficiency (103.3–108.4), net efficiency (7.2–2.1), recent form (9.2–-2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–0.1), shooting efficiency (51.8–50.9), ball security (16.4–17.6).

Final

Missouri State

58—63

UIC

UIC by 5 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATUIC

25-54FG19-49

46.0%FG%39.0%

1-113PT3-16

9.0%3PT%19.0%

7-12FT22-27

58.0%FT%81.0%

33Rebounds30

6Offensive Rebounds7

16Assists11

16Turnovers15

11Steals9

5Blocks5

20Fouls11

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	36	10-20	0-0	1-2	8	4	2	4	21
Vincent Brady II	G	36	5-9	0-3	4-4	3	4	3	0	14
Chase Martin	Guard	24	4-6	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	1	9
Jalen Hampton	G	18	3-5	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	0	6
Zaxton King	G	16	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Dez White	G	33	1-9	0-6	1-2	5	5	0	0	3
Wesley Oba	Forward	23	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Logan Epes	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	2	0	0
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-2	1	1	1	0	0

UIC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Jackson	G	33	4-12	1-5	7-7	3	2	3	0	16
Modestas Kancleris	Forward	27	4-10	0-1	5-8	8	1	0	3	13
Saša Ciani	F	23	5-8	0-0	0-1	6	2	0	2	10
Ethan Pickett	G	17	2-3	1-2	2-2	1	1	0	0	7
Jordan Mason	G	34	0-3	0-0	6-7	3	1	2	0	6
Ahmad Henderson II	G	13	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	5
Tyem Freeman	Guard	29	1-5	0-3	2-2	6	2	2	0	4
Filip Skobalj	Not Available	24	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

83.1Offensive Efficiency90.3

90.3Defensive Efficiency83.1

-7.2Net Efficiency7.2

47.2%Effective FG%41.8%

48.6%True Shooting %51.0%

23.0%Turnover Rate21.5%

22.2%Free Throw Rate55.1%

20.4%3-Point Rate32.7%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

UIC won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.