Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

82.2%Valparaiso

17.8%Evansville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL143.8

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -462

Evansville

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 76

Projected Total143.8

Projected ScoreEvansville 68

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricEvansville

49.9MMH Power Index31.6

106.6Offensive Efficiency98.5

105.8Defensive Efficiency112.4

0.8Net Efficiency-13.9

0.3Strength of Schedule1.8

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-23.0

67.5Tempo68.0

48.7%Effective FG%50.0%

15.6%Turnover Rate18.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %22.2%

40.0%Free Throw Rate30.8%

0.5Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–31.6), offensive efficiency (106.6–98.5), defensive efficiency (105.8–112.4), net efficiency (0.8–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–0.3), shooting efficiency (50.0–48.7).

Final

Valparaiso

69—79

Evansville

Evansville by 10 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATEvansville

23-57FG26-52

40.0%FG%50.0%

7-233PT5-17

30.0%3PT%29.0%

16-17FT22-24

94.0%FT%92.0%

29Rebounds32

9Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists18

11Turnovers10

6Steals6

2Blocks4

19Fouls12

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
All Wright	G	28	6-14	1-6	4-4	3	0	2	0	17
Isaiah Shaw	G	15	5-8	2-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	14
Cooper Schwieger	F	40	3-13	1-3	6-7	4	4	0	2	13
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	36	3-4	2-3	2-2	7	5	1	0	10
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	31	2-6	1-2	0-0	2	1	2	0	5
Kaspar Sepp	F	26	2-4	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	4
Tyler Schmidt	G	15	1-5	0-3	2-2	1	1	1	0	4
Carson Schwieger	F	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Justus McNair	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Turnbull	F	28	12-15	0-1	3-4	6	3	1	3	27
Tayshawn Comer	G	37	3-11	1-6	10-10	2	11	1	0	17
Gabriel Pozzato	F	40	3-4	1-2	5-5	4	2	2	0	12
Joshua Hughes	F	38	4-10	2-4	1-2	9	1	2	1	11
Kaia Berridge	G	16	2-2	1-1	1-1	1	0	0	0	6
Tanner Cuff	G	34	2-8	0-3	0-0	5	1	0	0	4
Gui Tesch	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Michael Day	Center	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

102.5Offensive Efficiency117.4

117.4Defensive Efficiency102.5

-14.9Net Efficiency14.9

46.5%Effective FG%54.8%

53.0%True Shooting %62.3%

16.4%Turnover Rate14.8%

29.8%Free Throw Rate46.2%

40.4%3-Point Rate32.7%

1.09Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

Evansville won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.