Northern Iowa

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.8%Northern Iowa

42.2%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -137

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 75

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreMurray State 73

Team Comparison

Northern IowaMetricMurray State

61MMH Power Index53.6

108.4Offensive Efficiency115.0

96.4Defensive Efficiency111.0

12.0Net Efficiency4.0

2.2Strength of Schedule3.5

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

64.1Tempo72.3

54.6%Effective FG%54.0%

14.4%Turnover Rate16.3%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

26.2%Free Throw Rate39.1%

7.7Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–53.6), defensive efficiency (96.4–111.0), net efficiency (12.0–4.0), recent form (13.9–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–108.4), strength of schedule (3.5–2.2), offensive rebounding (32.7–21.9).