Northern Iowa

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.8%Northern Iowa

42.2%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -137

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 75

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreMurray State 73

Team Comparison

Northern IowaMetricMurray State

61MMH Power Index53.6

108.4Offensive Efficiency115.0

96.4Defensive Efficiency111.0

12.0Net Efficiency4.0

2.2Strength of Schedule3.5

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

64.1Tempo72.3

54.6%Effective FG%54.0%

14.4%Turnover Rate16.3%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

26.2%Free Throw Rate39.1%

7.7Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–53.6), defensive efficiency (96.4–111.0), net efficiency (12.0–4.0), recent form (13.9–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–108.4), strength of schedule (3.5–2.2), offensive rebounding (32.7–21.9).

Final

Northern Iowa

74—67

Murray State

Northern Iowa by 7 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IowaTEAM STATMurray State

24-53FG24-58

45.0%FG%41.0%

6-173PT11-26

35.0%3PT%42.0%

20-26FT8-12

77.0%FT%67.0%

39Rebounds33

8Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists4

10Turnovers13

7Steals4

2Blocks2

14Fouls20

Player Box Score

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Campbell	G	37	7-12	5-7	2-2	4	1	1	0	21
Ben Schwieger	F	40	7-10	1-2	4-6	6	4	0	0	19
Tytan Anderson	Guard	33	6-10	0-0	7-8	7	2	3	1	19
Will Hornseth	F	18	3-5	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	0	7
Max Weisbrod	G	36	0-6	0-4	4-4	4	1	1	0	4
Jacob Hutson	Center	22	1-7	0-2	2-4	6	0	0	1	4
Kyle Pock	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cael Schmitt	Guard	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terence Harcum	Guard	40	6-13	5-9	2-2	4	1	1	0	19
Nick Ellington	F	29	8-12	0-0	2-4	3	0	0	0	18
JaCobi Wood	Guard	40	4-14	3-7	4-4	5	2	2	0	15
AJ Ferguson	Guard	33	3-10	2-7	0-0	7	1	0	0	8
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	11	2-4	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	2	4
Kylen Milton	Guard	14	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Alden Applewhite	F	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Justin Morgan	Guard	16	0-3	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

107.9Offensive Efficiency97.7

97.7Defensive Efficiency107.9

10.2Net Efficiency-10.2

50.9%Effective FG%50.9%

56.6%True Shooting %52.6%

14.8%Turnover Rate18.7%

49.1%Free Throw Rate20.7%

32.1%3-Point Rate44.8%

0.80Assist / Turnover0.31

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.