Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

85.2%Alabama State

14.8%Mississippi Valley State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama State -11.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama State -576

Mississippi Valley State

3-30

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 81

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreMississippi Valley State 70

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricMississippi Valley State

38MMH Power Index17.7

101.7Offensive Efficiency91.1

107.4Defensive Efficiency117.8

-5.7Net Efficiency-26.7

-6.2Strength of Schedule-4.1

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.3

71.9Tempo70.5

48.2%Effective FG%45.8%

18.2%Turnover Rate21.8%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

35.8%Free Throw Rate34.5%

-4.1Average Margin-18.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.0–17.7), offensive efficiency (101.7–91.1), defensive efficiency (107.4–117.8), net efficiency (-5.7–-26.7).

Mississippi Valley State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.1–-6.2).

Final

Alabama State

79—56

Mississippi Valley State

Alabama State by 23 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATMississippi Valley State

29-65FG24-63

45.0%FG%38.0%

14-323PT7-22

44.0%3PT%32.0%

7-9FT1-3

78.0%FT%33.0%

42Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds8

17Assists12

8Turnovers12

8Steals4

4Blocks2

11Fouls9

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Hines	G	19	5-7	3-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	13
TJ Madlock	Guard	19	4-7	2-3	3-4	4	1	4	0	13
JaSteven Walker	F	16	5-6	2-3	0-0	3	0	0	1	12
D'Ante Bass	Forward	18	3-5	2-3	1-2	4	1	0	0	9
Micah Octave	G	25	2-5	2-5	0-0	9	3	1	0	6
Tyler Mack	G	21	2-3	2-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Amarr Knox	G	20	2-9	0-1	2-2	2	4	1	0	6
Micah Simpson	G	19	2-12	1-7	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	21	2-6	0-3	0-0	3	5	2	1	4
Jordon Marshall	G	2	1-2	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
Ubong Okon	C	20	1-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	2	2

Mississippi Valley State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Moses Horne	Guard	31	5-13	2-5	0-2	5	0	2	1	12
Greg Moore Jr.	G	20	4-10	2-6	0-0	0	2	0	0	10
Jair Horton	F	34	4-15	0-4	1-1	10	4	1	0	9
George Ivory III	G	24	3-3	2-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	8
Antonio Sisk	G	32	3-6	1-2	0-0	1	3	1	0	7
Daniel Umoh	Center	18	3-7	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	6
Arthur Tate	Guard	13	2-7	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Raeshun McGregory	Guard	17	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Jonathan Pace	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Markell Petro	Guard	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jadarius Townes	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

116.3Offensive Efficiency82.5

82.5Defensive Efficiency116.3

33.9Net Efficiency-33.9

55.4%Effective FG%43.7%

57.0%True Shooting %43.5%

11.9%Turnover Rate17.5%

13.8%Free Throw Rate4.8%

49.2%3-Point Rate34.9%

2.13Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Alabama State won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.