Lamar

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.1%Lamar

54.9%Northwestern State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern State -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL136.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern State -122

Northwestern State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLamar 68

Projected Total136.2

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 69

Team Comparison

LamarMetricNorthwestern State

44.1MMH Power Index41.3

105.0Offensive Efficiency104.0

103.8Defensive Efficiency109.0

1.2Net Efficiency-5.0

-3.0Strength of Schedule-1.6

-8.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

66.6Tempo63.6

48.8%Effective FG%49.5%

18.0%Turnover Rate17.6%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %27.1%

28.5%Free Throw Rate41.2%

0.8Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lamar HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLamar holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.1–41.3), offensive efficiency (105.0–104.0), defensive efficiency (103.8–109.0), net efficiency (1.2–-5.0).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.6–-3.0), recent form (-4.9–-8.2), shooting efficiency (49.5–48.8).

Final

Lamar

75—65

Northwestern State

Lamar by 10 • 60.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LamarTEAM STATNorthwestern State

25-55FG25-51

45.0%FG%49.0%

13-233PT6-22

57.0%3PT%27.0%

12-19FT9-15

63.0%FT%60.0%

37Rebounds26

16Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists16

13Turnovers9

6Steals6

2Blocks4

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Lamar

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Holifield	F	30	8-11	5-6	1-1	3	1	0	0	22
Alexis Marmolejos	G	32	4-11	3-9	2-5	4	3	0	0	13
Danquez Dawsey	Guard	17	4-6	2-3	3-4	1	2	1	0	13
Ja'Sean Jackson	Guard	28	3-7	2-3	1-3	3	3	0	1	9
Cody Pennebaker	G	25	2-5	1-1	0-0	5	3	0	0	5
Errol White	F	23	1-4	0-0	2-2	5	1	2	0	4
Jayden Barrs	G	5	1-5	0-1	2-2	2	0	1	0	4
Adam Hamilton	Center	24	1-5	0-0	1-2	7	2	2	1	3
Terrance Dixon Jr.	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Janko Bulajic	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Thomas	G	31	6-9	3-6	1-1	1	2	1	0	16
Willie Williams	F	31	7-8	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	1	15
Addison Patterson	F	33	5-10	0-4	4-6	6	5	1	0	14
Justin Redmond	G	14	2-3	2-3	1-2	1	0	0	0	7
Love Bettis	G	29	2-8	0-3	2-2	2	5	0	0	6
Landyn Jumawan	G	21	1-4	1-3	0-2	3	2	1	0	3
Jerald Colonel	F	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	2
JT Warren	Forward	12	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	1	2	0	2
Jon Sanders II	G	11	0-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Chris Mubiru	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.1Possessions60.1

124.8Offensive Efficiency108.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency124.8

16.6Net Efficiency-16.6

57.3%Effective FG%54.9%

58.6%True Shooting %55.9%

21.3%Turnover Rate15.2%

34.5%Free Throw Rate29.4%

41.8%3-Point Rate43.1%

1.15Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

Lamar won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 60.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.