Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.3%Villanova

84.7%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -11.8

PROJECTED TOTAL146.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -554

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 67

Projected Total146.1

Projected ScoreUConn 79

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricUConn

59.4MMH Power Index70.2

114.7Offensive Efficiency116.3

105.9Defensive Efficiency98.4

8.8Net Efficiency17.9

4.4Strength of Schedule6.3

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

67.3Tempo66.2

53.9%Effective FG%55.0%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

31.4%Free Throw Rate30.7%

5.9Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–59.4), offensive efficiency (116.3–114.7), defensive efficiency (98.4–105.9), net efficiency (17.9–8.8).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHball security (15.0–16.4), free throw rate (31.4–30.7).

Final

Villanova

59—66

UConn

UConn by 7 • 60.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATUConn

19-54FG23-51

35.0%FG%45.0%

8-223PT4-19

36.0%3PT%21.0%

13-16FT16-18

81.0%FT%89.0%

29Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists17

9Turnovers9

6Steals4

2Blocks7

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wooga Poplar	Guard	38	7-21	3-9	2-2	6	0	0	0	19
Eric Dixon	Forward	34	3-13	2-6	9-12	5	3	1	1	17
Jordan Longino	Guard	35	5-7	2-3	1-1	2	1	1	0	13
Tyler Perkins	G	35	1-5	1-2	0-0	7	3	2	1	3
Jhamir Brickus	Guard	31	1-4	0-2	1-1	0	2	2	0	3
Josiah Moseley	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jordann Dumont	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Enoch Boakye	Forward	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Kris Parker	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Liam McNeeley	Forward	39	5-12	1-5	9-9	7	2	0	0	20
Solo Ball	G	36	5-13	3-9	0-0	2	6	2	0	13
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	27	6-8	0-0	1-3	9	3	0	1	13
Hassan Diarra	Guard	35	2-4	0-0	4-4	3	2	1	3	8
Alex Karaban	F	35	2-6	0-3	2-2	4	4	0	2	6
Samson Johnson	Center	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Jaylin Stewart	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Ahmad Nowell	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jayden Ross	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Aidan Mahaney	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.1Possessions60.1

98.2Offensive Efficiency109.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency98.2

-11.6Net Efficiency11.6

42.6%Effective FG%49.0%

47.9%True Shooting %55.4%

14.6%Turnover Rate15.4%

29.6%Free Throw Rate35.3%

40.7%3-Point Rate37.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

UConn won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 60.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.