Nevada

24-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%Nevada

50.5%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -102

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNevada 74

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreColorado State 75

Team Comparison

NevadaMetricColorado State

59.8MMH Power Index55.4

112.4Offensive Efficiency117.1

105.7Defensive Efficiency109.9

6.7Net Efficiency7.2

3.7Strength of Schedule0.4

7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

67.7Tempo64.7

50.2%Effective FG%58.6%

14.8%Turnover Rate18.3%

31.9%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

46.0%Free Throw Rate41.2%

4.5Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Nevada HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNevada holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–55.4), defensive efficiency (105.7–109.9), strength of schedule (3.7–0.4), recent form (7.8–4.3).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–112.4), net efficiency (7.2–6.7), shooting efficiency (58.6–50.2).

Final

Nevada

71—79

Colorado State

Colorado State by 8 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NevadaTEAM STATColorado State

27-54FG24-44

50.0%FG%55.0%

4-123PT11-21

33.0%3PT%52.0%

13-17FT20-27

76.0%FT%74.0%

15Rebounds34

3Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists21

7Turnovers16

9Steals4

2Blocks2

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

Nevada

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Davidson	F	36	9-15	1-5	3-4	7	2	2	0	22
Tyler Rolison	G	39	8-16	0-2	5-6	3	2	3	1	21
Brandon Love	Forward	19	3-5	0-0	3-5	1	0	2	0	9
Justin McBride	F	22	3-6	1-2	0-0	3	2	1	1	7
Kobe Sanders	Guard	21	2-5	1-1	2-2	0	3	0	0	7
Xavier DuSell	Guard	34	1-4	1-2	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Chuck Bailey III	G	19	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
K.J. Hymes	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nique Clifford	Guard	35	5-8	3-3	9-10	9	5	1	1	22
Jalen Lake	Guard	32	5-9	3-7	1-2	2	5	0	0	14
Rashaan Mbemba	F	27	3-7	0-0	6-10	10	0	0	1	12
Kyan Evans	G	31	4-7	1-4	2-2	3	4	0	0	11
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	16	3-4	1-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	7
Ethan Morton	Guard	30	2-2	1-1	0-0	4	1	3	0	5
Bowen Born	Guard	12	1-3	1-2	2-3	0	2	0	0	5
Keshawn Williams	G	9	1-4	1-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Nikola Djapa	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

108.6Offensive Efficiency120.8

120.8Defensive Efficiency108.6

-12.2Net Efficiency12.2

53.7%Effective FG%67.0%

57.2%True Shooting %69.5%

10.6%Turnover Rate24.7%

31.5%Free Throw Rate61.4%

22.2%3-Point Rate47.7%

1.57Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.