American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.2%American University

31.8%Army

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL149.2

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -214

Army

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 77

Projected Total149.2

Projected ScoreArmy 72

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricArmy

48.2MMH Power Index36.8

110.6Offensive Efficiency104.8

105.8Defensive Efficiency112.1

4.8Net Efficiency-7.3

-4.3Strength of Schedule-3.3

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.6

67.5Tempo68.9

52.6%Effective FG%49.8%

15.7%Turnover Rate17.3%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %31.0%

30.1%Free Throw Rate26.5%

3.3Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–36.8), offensive efficiency (110.6–104.8), defensive efficiency (105.8–112.1), net efficiency (4.8–-7.3).

Army COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.3–-4.3), offensive rebounding (31.0–28.0).

Final

American University

69—76

Army

Army by 7 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATArmy

26-61FG25-52

43.0%FG%48.0%

9-263PT8-17

35.0%3PT%47.0%

8-13FT18-20

62.0%FT%90.0%

28Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds8

17Assists14

7Turnovers8

7Steals5

1Blocks6

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	29	9-15	2-7	1-1	5	2	0	0	21
Elijah Stephens	Guard	31	4-12	3-6	0-0	2	4	1	0	11
Colin Smalls	Guard	30	3-9	0-2	3-4	3	1	3	0	9
Lincoln Ball	Guard	33	3-7	0-2	2-4	10	5	0	1	8
Geoff Sprouse	G	27	2-5	2-4	1-1	3	2	0	0	7
Wyatt Nausadis	G	14	2-4	1-2	1-1	0	0	1	0	6
Greg Jones	F	13	1-3	1-2	0-1	0	1	1	0	3
Matt Mayock	F	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Mason Whittaker	Forward	6	1-1	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	2
Eric Michaels	F	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Army

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Curry	G	35	10-13	4-6	1-2	7	1	1	0	25
AJ Allenspach	Forward	23	6-6	0-0	4-4	4	2	2	0	16
Josh Scovens	G	33	4-14	1-3	5-6	6	1	0	6	14
Jalen Rucker	Guard	31	1-9	0-4	8-8	7	7	0	0	10
Kevin McCarthy	G	6	3-3	3-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Jorn Everson	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Caldwell	Guard	25	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Blake Barker	Guard	20	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Tate Laczkowski	F	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Jacen Holloway	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Kendall Hailey	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

108.8Offensive Efficiency119.9

119.9Defensive Efficiency108.8

-11.0Net Efficiency11.0

50.0%Effective FG%55.8%

51.4%True Shooting %61.8%

10.7%Turnover Rate13.0%

21.3%Free Throw Rate38.5%

42.6%3-Point Rate32.7%

2.43Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Army won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.