NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.4%NC State

74.6%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -7.2

PROJECTED TOTAL158.6

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -294

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 76

Projected Total158.6

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 83

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricNorth Carolina

60.1MMH Power Index65.2

118.4Offensive Efficiency115.5

108.6Defensive Efficiency103.8

9.8Net Efficiency11.7

6.4Strength of Schedule7.6

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

70.2Tempo69.0

55.1%Effective FG%54.6%

13.1%Turnover Rate13.9%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

35.7%Free Throw Rate38.1%

6.9Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–60.1), defensive efficiency (103.8–108.6), net efficiency (11.7–9.8), strength of schedule (7.6–6.4).

NC State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.4–115.5), shooting efficiency (55.1–54.6), ball security (13.1–13.9).

Final

NC State

73—97

North Carolina

North Carolina by 24 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATNorth Carolina

27-59FG35-61

46.0%FG%57.0%

8-243PT8-20

33.0%3PT%40.0%

11-16FT19-24

69.0%FT%79.0%

21Rebounds40

7Offensive Rebounds14

6Assists17

10Turnovers11

6Steals5

4Blocks1

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Taylor	Guard	32	8-13	2-6	1-3	2	0	0	0	19
Dontrez Styles	Guard	29	7-10	3-4	1-1	5	0	1	0	18
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	14	5-8	2-5	2-4	3	0	0	0	14
Michael O'Connell	Guard	35	3-8	0-2	2-2	2	1	3	0	8
Trey Parker	G	15	0-5	0-4	4-4	1	1	2	0	4
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	2	3
Bryce Heard	G	5	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	3
Marcus Hill	G	18	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	18	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	2
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	21	0-4	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	1	0
Ismael Diouf	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Breon Pass	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Davis	Guard	30	6-18	1-8	8-8	2	5	2	0	21
Seth Trimble	G	26	6-9	0-1	3-4	7	0	1	0	15
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	20	5-7	0-0	3-3	5	0	0	0	13
Ian Jackson	G	21	4-6	2-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	12
Elliot Cadeau	G	23	3-6	1-2	1-2	3	6	0	0	8
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	20	3-5	2-4	0-0	4	1	1	0	8
Jalen Washington	C	17	2-3	0-0	2-2	3	2	0	1	6
Cade Tyson	G	9	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Drake Powell	Guard	29	2-2	0-0	0-2	4	1	1	0	4
James Brown	F	2	2-2	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	4
John Holbrook	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dante Mayo Jr.	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Russell Hawkins	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

105.0Offensive Efficiency139.6

139.6Defensive Efficiency105.0

-34.5Net Efficiency34.5

52.5%Effective FG%63.9%

54.8%True Shooting %67.0%

14.4%Turnover Rate15.9%

27.1%Free Throw Rate39.3%

40.7%3-Point Rate32.8%

0.60Assist / Turnover1.55

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.