Evansville

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.6%Evansville

87.4%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -13.5

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana State -694

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEvansville 67

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreIndiana State 80

Team Comparison

EvansvilleMetricIndiana State

31.6MMH Power Index44.4

98.5Offensive Efficiency104.7

112.4Defensive Efficiency106.0

-13.9Net Efficiency-1.3

1.8Strength of Schedule0.1

-23.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

68.0Tempo70.3

50.0%Effective FG%53.6%

18.9%Turnover Rate19.5%

22.2%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

30.8%Free Throw Rate28.8%

-9.5Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–31.6), offensive efficiency (104.7–98.5), defensive efficiency (106.0–112.4), net efficiency (-1.3–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–0.1), ball security (18.9–19.5), free throw rate (30.8–28.8).

Final

Evansville

79—74

Indiana State

Evansville by 5 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

EvansvilleTEAM STATIndiana State

31-63FG22-51

49.0%FG%43.0%

6-233PT8-24

26.0%3PT%33.0%

11-14FT22-26

79.0%FT%85.0%

36Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds5

8Assists14

8Turnovers11

7Steals5

3Blocks3

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gabriel Pozzato	F	40	7-16	1-9	7-8	4	1	0	0	22
Tayshawn Comer	G	40	7-17	3-6	4-6	5	5	2	0	21
Joshua Hughes	F	37	7-12	1-4	0-0	10	0	1	1	15
Connor Turnbull	F	25	7-10	1-1	0-0	5	0	0	1	15
Tanner Cuff	G	24	3-5	0-0	0-0	2	2	3	1	6
Kaia Berridge	G	21	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Gui Tesch	Guard	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Daughtry	F	23	8-14	2-3	5-8	6	2	0	1	23
Samage Teel	Guard	40	6-13	2-5	7-8	5	9	1	0	21
K'mani Doughty	Guard	23	2-4	2-3	4-4	3	0	0	0	10
Jayan Walker	G	19	2-3	0-1	2-2	2	0	2	0	6
Camp Wagner	G	38	1-4	1-4	2-2	2	1	1	0	5
Aaron Gray	Forward	19	2-8	1-5	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Derek Vorst	C	17	1-3	0-2	2-2	5	1	1	0	4
Bruno Alocen	G	21	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

114.3Offensive Efficiency107.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency114.3

7.2Net Efficiency-7.2

54.0%Effective FG%51.0%

56.7%True Shooting %58.4%

11.7%Turnover Rate15.9%

22.2%Free Throw Rate51.0%

36.5%3-Point Rate47.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Evansville won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.