Western Carolina

15-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.0%Western Carolina

43.0%Chattanooga

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Carolina -0.0

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Carolina -133

Chattanooga

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Carolina 78

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreChattanooga 78

Team Comparison

Western CarolinaMetricChattanooga

53MMH Power Index45.9

112.6Offensive Efficiency112.7

111.0Defensive Efficiency110.5

1.6Net Efficiency2.2

-0.9Strength of Schedule-4.4

13.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

69.7Tempo68.1

51.1%Effective FG%55.1%

16.4%Turnover Rate14.1%

36.1%Offensive Rebound %23.5%

30.8%Free Throw Rate29.2%

1.1Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Chattanooga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMChattanooga holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (112.7–112.6), defensive efficiency (110.5–111.0), net efficiency (2.2–1.6), shooting efficiency (55.1–51.1).

Western Carolina COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (53.0–45.9), strength of schedule (-0.9–-4.4), recent form (13.1–-0.1).

Final

Western Carolina

86—91

Chattanooga

Chattanooga by 5 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western CarolinaTEAM STATChattanooga

30-72FG31-63

42.0%FG%49.0%

13-263PT11-32

50.0%3PT%34.0%

13-14FT18-23

93.0%FT%78.0%

38Rebounds37

15Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists21

7Turnovers6

4Steals5

1Blocks7

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

Western Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Kell	F	35	11-23	4-7	5-6	8	0	0	0	31
Cord Stansberry	G	30	6-14	1-7	4-4	4	3	0	0	17
Bernard Pelote	Forward	32	5-15	4-7	0-0	10	2	1	1	14
CJ Hyland	G	21	1-2	1-1	4-4	1	1	1	0	7
Brandon Morgan	G	19	3-6	1-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	7
Chevalier Emery	G	25	2-6	2-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Chase McKey	F	14	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Vernon Collins	F	19	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Fischer Brown	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	0

Chattanooga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Honor Huff	G	40	8-12	6-8	5-6	1	3	0	1	27
Bash Wieland	Guard	28	7-13	3-6	6-7	7	1	0	0	23
Frank Champion	Forward	33	8-10	0-0	5-7	8	9	2	3	21
Trey Bonham	Guard	32	4-11	1-6	2-3	3	3	2	0	11
Jack Kostel	Guard	19	3-7	1-4	0-0	4	1	0	0	7
Garrison Keeslar	Forward	30	1-5	0-4	0-0	9	3	1	0	2
Sean Cusano	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Collin Mulholland	F	6	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	2	0
Parker Robison	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Latif Diouf	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

123.2Offensive Efficiency130.4

130.4Defensive Efficiency123.2

-7.2Net Efficiency7.2

50.7%Effective FG%57.9%

54.7%True Shooting %61.5%

9.9%Turnover Rate8.7%

19.4%Free Throw Rate36.5%

36.1%3-Point Rate50.8%

1.71Assist / Turnover3.50

Game Summary

Chattanooga won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.