Bradley

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%Bradley

62.2%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -165

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBradley 72

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreIllinois State 77

Team Comparison

BradleyMetricIllinois State

54.4MMH Power Index54.3

110.5Offensive Efficiency110.6

105.3Defensive Efficiency101.4

5.2Net Efficiency9.2

1.6Strength of Schedule1.0

0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

69.9Tempo67.5

51.2%Effective FG%54.3%

13.9%Turnover Rate16.8%

27.7%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

37.2%Free Throw Rate32.0%

3.6Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (110.6–110.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–105.3), net efficiency (9.2–5.2), shooting efficiency (54.3–51.2).

Bradley COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.4–54.3), strength of schedule (1.6–1.0), recent form (0.9–-4.4).

Final

Bradley

71—82

Illinois State

Illinois State by 11 • 63.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BradleyTEAM STATIllinois State

27-61FG25-54

44.0%FG%46.0%

10-253PT11-31

40.0%3PT%35.0%

7-11FT21-27

64.0%FT%78.0%

39Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds7

16Assists16

9Turnovers4

2Steals5

3Blocks3

23Fouls17

Player Box Score

Bradley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Duke Deen	Guard	34	6-13	4-10	0-0	4	4	0	0	16
Zek Montgomery	Guard	30	5-12	2-3	4-5	3	1	0	0	16
Darius Hannah	Forward	31	6-11	1-5	2-4	5	3	0	3	15
Demarion Burch	G	16	4-6	2-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	10
Almar Atlason	F	20	2-4	1-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	5
Ahmet Jonovic	C	18	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
Jaquan Johnson	G	12	1-3	0-0	1-2	1	2	1	0	3
Christian Davis	Guard	30	1-6	0-3	0-0	7	2	1	0	2
Corey Thomas	F	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jack Daugherty	F	24	7-10	7-10	4-7	6	0	0	0	25
Johnny Kinziger	G	33	4-11	2-8	9-10	9	3	2	0	19
Chase Walker	F	29	6-9	0-1	1-2	5	2	1	1	13
Dalton Banks	Guard	31	2-6	1-4	5-6	2	3	2	0	10
Landon Wolf	G	19	3-8	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	16	1-1	1-1	2-2	0	4	0	0	5
Jordan Davis	Guard	34	2-7	0-4	0-0	3	3	0	0	4
Caden Boser	Forward	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	2	0
Ty Pence	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.5Possessions63.5

111.8Offensive Efficiency129.1

129.1Defensive Efficiency111.8

-17.3Net Efficiency17.3

52.5%Effective FG%56.5%

53.6%True Shooting %61.4%

14.2%Turnover Rate6.3%

18.0%Free Throw Rate50.0%

41.0%3-Point Rate57.4%

1.78Assist / Turnover4.00

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 63.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.