St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.1%St. Thomas-Minnesota

21.9%South Dakota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL160.2

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -357

South Dakota

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 84

Projected Total160.2

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota 76

Team Comparison

St. Thomas-MinnesotaMetricSouth Dakota

59.8MMH Power Index43.8

116.8Offensive Efficiency110.0

102.2Defensive Efficiency110.8

14.6Net Efficiency-0.8

-3.6Strength of Schedule-4.9

14.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

70.0Tempo72.4

59.2%Effective FG%50.9%

13.9%Turnover Rate16.3%

22.1%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

35.2%Free Throw Rate46.2%

10.2Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–43.8), offensive efficiency (116.8–110.0), defensive efficiency (102.2–110.8), net efficiency (14.6–-0.8).

South Dakota COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (29.8–22.1), free throw rate (46.2–35.2).

Final

St. Thomas-Minnesota

80—85

South Dakota

South Dakota by 5 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. Thomas-MinnesotaTEAM STATSouth Dakota

30-58FG24-63

52.0%FG%38.0%

8-233PT13-37

35.0%3PT%35.0%

12-14FT24-25

86.0%FT%96.0%

29Rebounds39

5Offensive Rebounds15

14Assists9

9Turnovers8

2Steals6

3Blocks4

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miles Barnstable	G	28	6-12	3-8	1-2	2	0	0	0	16
Kendall Blue	G	26	7-8	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	1	14
Carter Bjerke	F	21	6-12	2-7	0-0	5	0	0	0	14
Drake Dobbs	Guard	28	2-4	0-1	6-6	2	3	1	0	10
Nolan Minessale	G	28	3-9	2-3	1-2	4	5	0	1	9
Ryan Dufault	G	19	2-5	0-0	4-4	5	3	0	0	8
Ben Oosterbaan	F	19	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Ben Nau	Guard	17	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Rich Byhre	Forward	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Ryan Lafferty	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

South Dakota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chase Forte	G	33	10-18	4-7	6-6	9	4	3	1	30
Dre Bullock	G	29	5-10	1-6	4-4	4	2	1	1	15
Max Burchill	Guard	29	3-8	3-6	4-4	2	0	0	0	13
Isaac Bruns	G	28	1-8	1-5	7-7	6	1	1	0	10
Kaleb Stewart	Guard	20	2-5	2-5	0-0	2	1	0	1	6
Paul Bruns	Guard	21	1-6	1-4	1-2	6	1	0	0	4
Shey Eberwein	G	19	1-5	0-3	2-2	3	0	1	0	4
Jevon Hill	Forward	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Mayuom Buom	Forward	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Ashton Smith	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

117.1Offensive Efficiency124.5

124.5Defensive Efficiency117.1

-7.3Net Efficiency7.3

58.6%Effective FG%48.4%

61.9%True Shooting %56.8%

13.1%Turnover Rate11.8%

24.1%Free Throw Rate39.7%

39.7%3-Point Rate58.7%

1.56Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

South Dakota won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.