UL Monroe

4-28

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.1%UL Monroe

92.9%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -18.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.7

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -1308

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUL Monroe 67

Projected Total152.7

Projected ScoreTexas State 86

Team Comparison

UL MonroeMetricTexas State

30.9MMH Power Index49.4

101.1Offensive Efficiency107.7

117.1Defensive Efficiency103.4

-16.0Net Efficiency4.3

-1.0Strength of Schedule-4.7

-16.2Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

71.7Tempo68.6

48.1%Effective FG%51.3%

16.9%Turnover Rate18.4%

25.3%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

40.6%Free Throw Rate36.0%

-11.5Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–30.9), offensive efficiency (107.7–101.1), defensive efficiency (103.4–117.1), net efficiency (4.3–-16.0).

UL Monroe COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-4.7), ball security (16.9–18.4), free throw rate (40.6–36.0).

Final

UL Monroe

63—80

Texas State

Texas State by 17 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UL MonroeTEAM STATTexas State

17-52FG29-71

33.0%FG%41.0%

8-183PT9-30

44.0%3PT%30.0%

21-26FT13-14

81.0%FT%93.0%

24Rebounds55

4Offensive Rebounds22

8Assists19

8Turnovers10

5Steals7

5Blocks4

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

UL Monroe

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coltie Young	Guard	38	6-14	6-10	0-0	2	1	0	2	18
Tyreese Watson	G	34	2-10	0-3	8-10	1	3	3	1	12
Makai Willis	C	40	3-9	0-0	4-6	10	1	0	0	10
Micah Caster	G	18	4-5	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	10
Jalen Bolden	G	26	2-9	0-2	5-6	2	1	1	0	9
AD Diedhiou	Forward	26	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	2	1	2	2
Jerry Ngopot	F	14	0-5	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	2
Ajay Tew	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tylan Pope	Forward	24	6-10	0-0	4-4	7	2	0	0	16
Christian Turner	Forward	28	7-11	1-2	0-0	10	5	2	1	15
Tyrel Morgan	Forward	26	5-11	3-5	2-2	9	2	0	2	15
Joshua O'Garro	G	20	4-8	1-4	2-2	7	1	0	0	11
Coleton Benson	G	13	2-11	2-10	0-0	2	3	3	0	6
Drue Drinnon	Guard	30	2-5	1-4	0-0	3	2	0	0	5
Dylan Dawson	Guard	20	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	4	1	0	3
Mark Drone	G	9	1-5	0-2	1-2	1	0	1	0	3
Austin Green	F	12	0-5	0-0	2-2	6	0	0	0	2
Nate Deer	F	9	0-1	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	2
Jaylen Jones	Guard	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Bessanty Saragba	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

93.9Offensive Efficiency119.2

119.2Defensive Efficiency93.9

-25.3Net Efficiency25.3

40.4%Effective FG%47.2%

49.0%True Shooting %51.5%

11.7%Turnover Rate15.2%

50.0%Free Throw Rate19.7%

34.6%3-Point Rate42.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.90

Game Summary

Texas State won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.