Miami

26-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.2%Miami

43.8%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiami -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMiami -128

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiami 80

Projected Total158.9

Projected ScoreFlorida State 78

Team Comparison

MiamiMetricFlorida State

65.5MMH Power Index58.7

117.8Offensive Efficiency111.9

103.0Defensive Efficiency108.5

14.8Net Efficiency3.4

3.6Strength of Schedule5.7

3.6Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

69.2Tempo71.8

55.5%Effective FG%52.4%

16.2%Turnover Rate15.2%

37.3%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

37.9%Free Throw Rate35.2%

10.3Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Miami HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiami holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.5–58.7), offensive efficiency (117.8–111.9), defensive efficiency (103.0–108.5), net efficiency (14.8–3.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.7–3.6), recent form (7.6–3.6), ball security (15.2–16.2).

Final

Miami

66—74

Florida State

Florida State by 8 • 72.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MiamiTEAM STATFlorida State

25-60FG25-55

42.0%FG%45.0%

4-193PT5-22

21.0%3PT%23.0%

12-14FT19-29

86.0%FT%66.0%

35Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists12

16Turnovers13

8Steals12

2Blocks5

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

Miami

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matthew Cleveland	Guard	36	3-14	1-4	7-8	6	2	0	1	14
Lynn Kidd	Center	32	7-8	0-0	0-0	11	2	0	0	14
Brandon Johnson	Forward	38	4-6	0-2	0-0	7	2	2	1	8
Paul Djobet	G	6	3-6	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	7
Divine Ugochukwu	G	28	2-9	0-3	2-2	0	6	3	0	6
Jalil Bethea	G	25	2-7	1-2	1-2	2	2	2	0	6
AJ Staton-McCray	G	19	2-7	0-3	2-2	4	1	0	0	6
Austin Swartz	G	12	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	2	1	0	5
Kiree Huie	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malique Ewin	F	28	10-10	0-0	4-7	5	2	3	0	24
Jamir Watkins	Guard	31	2-12	1-7	11-14	8	0	0	0	16
Chandler Jackson	G	29	4-6	0-1	3-4	0	3	2	0	11
Jerry Deng	F	13	2-6	2-5	1-2	0	0	0	0	7
Daquan Davis	G	21	3-5	0-2	0-0	4	1	1	1	6
AJ Swinton	F	9	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	27	1-7	0-1	0-0	6	2	2	4	2
Alier Maluk	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	2
Justin Thomas	G	23	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	3	1	0	0
Bostyn Holt	Guard	7	0-1	0-0	0-2	0	1	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.8Possessions72.8

90.7Offensive Efficiency101.6

101.6Defensive Efficiency90.7

-11.0Net Efficiency11.0

45.0%Effective FG%50.0%

49.5%True Shooting %53.8%

22.0%Turnover Rate17.9%

23.3%Free Throw Rate52.7%

31.7%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.06Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Florida State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 72.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.