Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.9%Northwestern

82.1%Ohio State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOhio State -10.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINEOhio State -459

Ohio State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 70

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreOhio State 80

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricOhio State

55.4MMH Power Index64.5

111.6Offensive Efficiency118.1

109.8Defensive Efficiency108.1

1.8Net Efficiency10.0

5.6Strength of Schedule6.4

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.3

65.6Tempo67.2

51.9%Effective FG%56.9%

13.0%Turnover Rate15.3%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

34.8%Free Throw Rate38.3%

1.2Average Margin6.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ohio State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOhio State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–55.4), offensive efficiency (118.1–111.6), defensive efficiency (108.1–109.8), net efficiency (10.0–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHball security (13.0–15.3).

Final

Northwestern

70—49

Ohio State

Northwestern by 21 • 62.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATOhio State

25-54FG17-52

46.0%FG%33.0%

2-143PT4-21

14.0%3PT%19.0%

18-19FT11-13

95.0%FT%85.0%

36Rebounds27

13Offensive Rebounds10

5Assists8

11Turnovers16

4Steals5

2Blocks1

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	33	7-15	0-3	4-4	5	0	0	0	18
Ty Berry	Guard	38	6-12	0-4	3-3	6	1	1	0	15
K.J. Windham	G	29	4-9	2-4	5-5	3	2	0	0	15
Matthew Nicholson	Center	31	5-6	0-0	0-1	4	0	1	2	10
Angelo Ciaravino	G	25	1-2	0-0	4-4	5	0	1	0	6
Keenan Fitzmorris	Center	9	1-3	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Justin Mullins	G	24	1-5	0-2	0-0	6	0	1	0	2
Jordan Clayton	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	0

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Parrish	Guard	34	5-13	3-9	3-4	1	0	1	0	16
Bruce Thornton	G	34	6-12	0-3	1-2	1	4	2	0	13
Ques Glover	Guard	23	2-10	1-3	1-1	2	1	0	0	6
Devin Royal	F	27	0-4	0-0	4-4	4	1	0	0	4
Sean Stewart	F	26	2-3	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	1	4
John Mobley Jr.	G	25	1-8	0-5	2-2	0	2	1	0	4
Evan Mahaffey	G	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Colin White	F	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ivan Njegovan	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Austin Parks	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.6Possessions62.6

111.8Offensive Efficiency78.3

78.3Defensive Efficiency111.8

33.5Net Efficiency-33.5

48.1%Effective FG%36.5%

55.5%True Shooting %42.1%

18.0%Turnover Rate24.9%

35.2%Free Throw Rate25.0%

25.9%3-Point Rate40.4%

0.45Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 62.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.