Fairleigh Dickinson

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.2%Fairleigh Dickinson

78.8%Mercyhurst

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercyhurst -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL135.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMercyhurst -372

Mercyhurst

17-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairleigh Dickinson 63

Projected Total135.8

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 73

Team Comparison

Fairleigh DickinsonMetricMercyhurst

38.3MMH Power Index45.5

103.8Offensive Efficiency105.2

108.4Defensive Efficiency102.2

-4.6Net Efficiency3.0

-5.8Strength of Schedule-5.7

-4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

64.7Tempo65.9

48.6%Effective FG%50.5%

18.2%Turnover Rate14.4%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %26.8%

33.1%Free Throw Rate25.4%

-3.0Average Margin2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercyhurst HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercyhurst holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–38.3), offensive efficiency (105.2–103.8), defensive efficiency (102.2–108.4), net efficiency (3.0–-4.6).

Fairleigh Dickinson COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.6–26.8), free throw rate (33.1–25.4).

Final

Fairleigh Dickinson

60—65

Mercyhurst

Mercyhurst by 5 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fairleigh DickinsonTEAM STATMercyhurst

17-50FG21-55

34.0%FG%38.0%

10-313PT6-18

32.0%3PT%33.0%

16-21FT17-18

76.0%FT%94.0%

35Rebounds31

11Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists14

16Turnovers11

3Steals10

1Blocks6

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Fairleigh Dickinson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Brown	G	37	3-14	2-6	7-10	8	4	1	0	15
Dylan Jones	G	26	5-12	5-12	0-0	1	1	0	0	15
Jo'el Emanuel	F	29	3-6	1-2	3-4	5	1	1	0	10
Brayden Reynolds	Guard	37	3-5	0-2	2-2	7	4	1	1	8
Bismark Nsiah	Forward	26	2-3	1-2	1-2	3	1	0	0	6
Jameel Morris	PG	21	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Ahmed Barba-Bey	Guard	20	0-4	0-3	3-3	6	0	0	0	3
Josiah Francis	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bernie Blunt III	G	31	3-12	1-4	6-6	5	1	3	1	13
Jake Lemelman	G	13	5-8	3-4	0-0	1	3	1	0	13
Aidan Reichert	Forward	30	4-8	0-0	4-4	5	0	2	2	12
Jeff Planutis	Forward	34	3-11	1-4	3-4	3	5	0	0	10
Shemar Rathan-Mayes	Guard	31	2-6	1-4	4-4	2	4	1	0	9
Qadir Martin	F	20	3-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	2	6
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	G	11	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Max Jusianiec	G	30	0-3	0-2	0-0	6	0	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

91.2Offensive Efficiency98.8

98.8Defensive Efficiency91.2

-7.6Net Efficiency7.6

44.0%Effective FG%43.6%

50.0%True Shooting %51.1%

24.6%Turnover Rate16.5%

42.0%Free Throw Rate32.7%

62.0%3-Point Rate32.7%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Mercyhurst won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.