Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.2%Central Connecticut

39.8%Chicago State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -3.7

PROJECTED TOTAL143.7

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -151

Chicago State

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 74

Projected Total143.7

Projected ScoreChicago State 70

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricChicago State

44.4MMH Power Index36.1

111.4Offensive Efficiency99.4

107.0Defensive Efficiency114.9

4.4Net Efficiency-15.5

-7.7Strength of Schedule0.5

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.3

66.3Tempo66.2

54.0%Effective FG%45.6%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.8%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

31.3%Free Throw Rate30.7%

2.9Average Margin-10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–36.1), offensive efficiency (111.4–99.4), defensive efficiency (107.0–114.9), net efficiency (4.4–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-7.7), ball security (15.8–15.9), offensive rebounding (29.1–28.2).

Final

Central Connecticut

81—75

Chicago State

Central Connecticut by 6 • 71.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATChicago State

27-49FG26-67

55.0%FG%39.0%

6-173PT10-27

35.0%3PT%37.0%

21-24FT13-14

88.0%FT%93.0%

32Rebounds33

5Offensive Rebounds15

16Assists14

14Turnovers14

6Steals6

2Blocks3

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Abdul Momoh	F	31	8-12	0-0	3-4	4	2	0	1	19
Jordan Jones	Guard	32	6-9	2-4	4-4	4	4	1	0	18
Devin Haid	G	32	4-7	1-2	7-7	5	3	2	0	16
Jayden Brown	Forward	31	5-8	0-2	4-4	5	1	0	1	14
Davonte Sweatman	Guard	18	2-4	1-3	3-4	2	0	0	0	8
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	30	1-2	1-2	0-0	5	5	1	0	3
Jaelen McGlone	Guard	9	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Darin Smith Jr.	F	15	0-4	0-2	0-1	3	1	1	0	0
Max Frazier	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dailliss Cox	F	24	7-11	2-3	4-5	10	1	1	0	20
Noble Crawford	Forward	36	5-15	3-8	3-3	7	4	2	1	16
Jalen Forrest	G	35	4-13	1-5	6-6	7	1	0	1	15
Quincy Allen	G	24	4-13	3-8	0-0	5	1	0	0	11
CJ Delancy	F	11	3-6	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Gabe Spinelli	G	36	2-6	1-2	0-0	1	5	2	0	5
Matthew Robinson	Guard	24	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	1	2
Saxby Sunderland	Guard	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.1Possessions71.1

113.9Offensive Efficiency105.5

105.5Defensive Efficiency113.9

8.4Net Efficiency-8.4

61.2%Effective FG%46.3%

67.1%True Shooting %50.9%

20.2%Turnover Rate19.3%

49.0%Free Throw Rate20.9%

34.7%3-Point Rate40.3%

1.14Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 71.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.