New Mexico State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%New Mexico State

62.5%Jacksonville State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -167

Jacksonville State

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 70

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 74

Team Comparison

New Mexico StateMetricJacksonville State

51.2MMH Power Index51.2

108.9Offensive Efficiency108.2

104.5Defensive Efficiency101.8

4.4Net Efficiency6.4

-0.7Strength of Schedule-2.3

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

68.9Tempo67.2

48.6%Effective FG%51.0%

15.2%Turnover Rate17.0%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

37.0%Free Throw Rate44.5%

3.1Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (101.8–104.5), net efficiency (6.4–4.4), recent form (-0.3–-2.0), shooting efficiency (51.0–48.6).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.9–108.2), strength of schedule (-0.7–-2.3), ball security (15.2–17.0).

Final

New Mexico State

61—52

Jacksonville State

New Mexico State by 9 • 59.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New Mexico StateTEAM STATJacksonville State

22-54FG16-52

41.0%FG%31.0%

2-153PT6-29

13.0%3PT%21.0%

15-24FT14-20

63.0%FT%70.0%

44Rebounds29

16Offensive Rebounds10

6Assists6

10Turnovers7

2Steals7

2Blocks5

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Peter Filipovity	Forward	30	8-16	1-2	3-6	12	2	0	0	20
Zawdie Jackson	G	33	1-10	0-3	7-8	3	2	1	0	9
Christian Cook	Guard	31	4-8	0-2	1-2	4	0	0	0	9
Jae'Coby Osborne	F	21	3-4	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	0	6
Nate Tshimanga	Forward	13	2-3	0-0	2-5	5	0	1	0	6
Emmanuel Tshimanga	Forward	19	2-2	0-0	1-1	5	1	0	2	5
Jaden Harris	G	17	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Dionte Bostick	Guard	11	1-3	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Robert Carpenter	Forward	20	0-4	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Gabe Pickens	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaron Pierre Jr.	G	40	8-23	4-11	10-11	2	3	1	0	30
Koree Cotton	G	31	3-9	2-8	1-2	1	0	4	0	9
Michael Houge	F	27	2-6	0-2	1-2	5	0	1	0	5
Quel'Ron House	G	30	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Marcellus Brigham Jr.	Forward	22	2-5	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Mason Nicholson	F	30	0-1	0-0	0-2	10	1	0	4	0
Jao Ituka	G	13	0-6	0-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Iaroslav Niagu	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.0Possessions59.0

103.4Offensive Efficiency88.1

88.1Defensive Efficiency103.4

15.3Net Efficiency-15.3

42.6%Effective FG%36.5%

46.6%True Shooting %42.3%

16.8%Turnover Rate12.0%

44.4%Free Throw Rate38.5%

27.8%3-Point Rate55.8%

0.60Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

New Mexico State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 59.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.