Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.7%Central Arkansas

34.3%West Georgia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL159.3

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -192

West Georgia

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 82

Projected Total159.3

Projected ScoreWest Georgia 78

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricWest Georgia

54MMH Power Index43.6

113.9Offensive Efficiency107.4

105.2Defensive Efficiency111.6

8.7Net Efficiency-4.2

-3.9Strength of Schedule-2.6

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency1.1

71.0Tempo71.3

54.3%Effective FG%50.4%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.8%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

30.7%Free Throw Rate29.6%

6.1Average Margin-3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–43.6), offensive efficiency (113.9–107.4), defensive efficiency (105.2–111.6), net efficiency (8.7–-4.2).

West Georgia COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.6–-3.9), offensive rebounding (32.1–29.6).

Final

Central Arkansas

82—71

West Georgia

Central Arkansas by 11 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATWest Georgia

26-54FG25-52

48.0%FG%48.0%

12-283PT8-18

43.0%3PT%44.0%

18-24FT13-17

75.0%FT%76.0%

28Rebounds27

9Offensive Rebounds6

17Assists19

12Turnovers15

8Steals9

1Blocks2

12Fouls17

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brayden Fagbemi	G	37	5-11	3-7	6-7	3	4	1	0	19
Cole McCormick	F	35	6-9	3-6	3-5	5	2	3	0	18
Nehemiah Turner	F	33	5-9	0-0	7-9	6	4	0	1	17
Elias Cato	Forward	33	5-13	4-7	2-3	4	4	1	0	16
Ben Fox	Guard	25	3-5	2-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	8
Owen Derhmann	G	23	2-5	0-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
Diogo Seixas	Forward	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	2	0	0
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

West Georgia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tamaury Releford	C	22	8-10	0-0	4-4	4	0	1	0	20
Shelton Williams-Dryden	F	31	4-9	0-1	5-6	7	7	1	0	13
Kyric Davis	G	33	3-7	2-3	3-4	3	2	0	1	11
Rickey Ballard	F	31	4-9	3-6	0-0	5	3	4	0	11
Demetrus Johnson II	Point Guard	18	3-7	2-4	0-0	0	2	1	0	8
Brady Hardewig	G	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Tauris Watson	Guard	3	1-1	0-0	1-3	0	0	0	0	3
Malcolm Noel	G	22	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Kolten Griffin	F	28	0-6	0-2	0-0	3	2	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

119.2Offensive Efficiency103.2

103.2Defensive Efficiency119.2

16.0Net Efficiency-16.0

59.3%Effective FG%55.8%

62.7%True Shooting %59.1%

17.5%Turnover Rate21.7%

44.4%Free Throw Rate32.7%

51.9%3-Point Rate34.6%

1.42Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Central Arkansas won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.