Jacksonville

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.5%Jacksonville

42.5%North Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL160.8

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville -135

North Florida

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville 82

Projected Total160.8

Projected ScoreNorth Florida 79

Team Comparison

JacksonvilleMetricNorth Florida

43.6MMH Power Index36.3

109.8Offensive Efficiency109.4

110.3Defensive Efficiency121.1

-0.5Net Efficiency-11.7

-4.8Strength of Schedule-0.6

-3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.3

66.6Tempo72.8

51.7%Effective FG%53.6%

16.9%Turnover Rate17.2%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

33.9%Free Throw Rate29.5%

-0.3Average Margin-8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–36.3), offensive efficiency (109.8–109.4), defensive efficiency (110.3–121.1), net efficiency (-0.5–-11.7).

North Florida COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-4.8), shooting efficiency (53.6–51.7).

Final

Jacksonville

73—77

North Florida

North Florida by 4 • 73.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

JacksonvilleTEAM STATNorth Florida

29-69FG25-59

42.0%FG%42.0%

3-163PT15-34

19.0%3PT%44.0%

12-17FT12-16

71.0%FT%75.0%

45Rebounds33

14Offensive Rebounds5

8Assists16

12Turnovers10

6Steals10

6Blocks4

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kendall Munson	Forward	32	8-13	0-0	6-9	11	2	0	1	22
Robert McCray V	G	30	10-25	0-4	2-2	4	1	0	0	22
Zach Bell	G	32	5-9	0-2	2-2	6	1	2	0	12
Tito Deng	F	9	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	5
Jakari Spence	Guard	24	1-6	1-2	1-2	3	3	1	0	4
Zimi Nwokeji	Forward	21	1-8	1-5	1-2	4	0	0	2	4
Chris Arias	G	19	2-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Donovan Rivers	F	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	2	0
Kent Jackson	G	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

North Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jasai Miles	G	35	5-11	3-6	7-7	2	3	1	1	20
Nate Lliteras	Guard	30	4-14	2-8	2-4	6	0	2	2	12
Jaylen Smith	G	29	4-5	4-5	0-0	4	4	3	0	12
Ametri Moss	G	11	3-4	1-1	3-4	3	2	0	0	10
Liam Murphy	F	28	3-7	3-7	0-0	5	2	2	0	9
Josh Harris	F	22	4-10	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	0	8
Oscar Berry	Guard	27	1-4	1-4	0-1	2	2	2	0	3
Kamrin Oriol	G	18	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	3	0	1	3

Advanced Game Stats

73.4Possessions73.4

99.5Offensive Efficiency104.9

104.9Defensive Efficiency99.5

-5.4Net Efficiency5.4

44.2%Effective FG%55.1%

47.4%True Shooting %57.8%

16.0%Turnover Rate14.0%

24.6%Free Throw Rate27.1%

23.2%3-Point Rate57.6%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

North Florida won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 73.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.