Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.2%Sacramento State

78.8%Weber State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWeber State -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL163.4

MODEL MONEYLINEWeber State -372

Weber State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 76

Projected Total163.4

Projected ScoreWeber State 87

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricWeber State

43MMH Power Index50.2

106.1Offensive Efficiency113.6

112.0Defensive Efficiency108.2

-5.9Net Efficiency5.4

0.9Strength of Schedule-3.4

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

73.2Tempo71.5

48.5%Effective FG%52.6%

14.2%Turnover Rate15.5%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

41.8%Free Throw Rate38.3%

-4.3Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Weber State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWeber State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–43.0), offensive efficiency (113.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (108.2–112.0), net efficiency (5.4–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-3.4), ball security (14.2–15.5), free throw rate (41.8–38.3).

Final

Sacramento State

80—77

Weber State

Sacramento State by 3 • 63.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATWeber State

29-53FG31-59

55.0%FG%53.0%

15-293PT9-22

52.0%3PT%41.0%

7-15FT6-11

47.0%FT%55.0%

32Rebounds25

9Offensive Rebounds7

21Assists16

11Turnovers7

6Steals7

7Blocks4

15Fouls19

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Holt	Forward	29	8-15	5-9	6-8	13	3	0	2	27
Lachlan Brewer	G	30	6-7	5-6	0-2	2	3	2	0	17
Emil Skytta	G	34	6-10	2-5	0-0	3	3	1	1	14
Chudi Dioramma	F	11	4-6	0-0	0-2	3	1	0	3	8
Michael Wilson	G	28	2-4	2-4	0-0	4	2	1	0	6
EJ Neal Jr.	G	28	1-3	1-1	0-0	2	2	2	0	3
Bailey Nunn	G	27	1-6	0-3	1-3	2	7	0	1	3
Leo Ricketts	Guard	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Viljami Vartiainen	G	38	9-18	6-12	0-0	2	2	1	0	24
Blaise Threatt	Guard	40	8-13	0-0	4-7	6	8	3	0	20
Trevor Hennig	G	38	5-12	0-5	0-0	4	2	2	1	10
Nemanja Sarenac	F	12	3-4	3-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Alex Tew	Center	17	2-2	0-0	2-4	3	1	0	2	6
Vasilije Vucinic	Center	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	4
Nigel Burris	F	18	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Saadiq Moore	Guard	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	1	0	2
Declan Cutler	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.2Possessions63.2

126.6Offensive Efficiency121.8

121.8Defensive Efficiency126.6

4.7Net Efficiency-4.7

68.9%Effective FG%60.2%

66.5%True Shooting %59.9%

17.7%Turnover Rate10.9%

28.3%Free Throw Rate18.6%

54.7%3-Point Rate37.3%

1.91Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

Sacramento State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.