Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.2%Portland State

50.8%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -103

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 76

Projected Total150.6

Projected ScoreIdaho State 75

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricIdaho State

50.2MMH Power Index45.9

109.3Offensive Efficiency111.0

100.2Defensive Efficiency113.4

9.1Net Efficiency-2.4

-5.6Strength of Schedule0.2

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

70.1Tempo67.1

51.7%Effective FG%52.2%

16.6%Turnover Rate16.5%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

36.8%Free Throw Rate39.1%

6.4Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.0–109.3), strength of schedule (0.2–-5.6), shooting efficiency (52.2–51.7), ball security (16.5–16.6).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (50.2–45.9), defensive efficiency (100.2–113.4), net efficiency (9.1–-2.4).

Final

Portland State

74—82

Idaho State

Idaho State by 8 • 70.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATIdaho State

29-61FG29-55

48.0%FG%53.0%

5-173PT6-21

29.0%3PT%29.0%

11-15FT18-23

73.0%FT%78.0%

27Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds7

7Assists18

11Turnovers10

6Steals7

4Blocks6

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terri Miller Jr.	F	25	11-17	1-2	5-6	4	3	2	1	28
Qiant Myers	Guard	39	9-21	2-9	1-2	0	3	1	0	21
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	37	4-8	2-4	2-2	1	0	0	0	12
Jaylin Henderson	G	38	2-6	0-2	2-3	5	0	0	1	6
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	24	3-8	0-0	0-0	8	1	1	1	6
Shane Nowell	Guard	11	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	0	1
Cole Farrell	G	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Isaac Brice	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Darling	G	38	5-12	0-4	6-6	7	13	3	0	16
Connor Hollenbeck	F	20	5-8	2-3	4-4	2	0	0	0	16
Jake O'Neil	Guard	35	4-8	1-3	6-8	7	3	0	0	15
Isaiah Griffin	F	37	5-9	2-4	0-2	2	1	2	0	12
Blake Daberkow	F	20	5-8	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	3	10
AJ Burgin	Guard	11	2-7	1-6	2-2	2	0	0	0	7
Evan Otten	F	18	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	3	6
Jackson Greene	Forward	21	0-0	0-0	0-1	5	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.5Possessions70.5

105.0Offensive Efficiency116.3

116.3Defensive Efficiency105.0

-11.3Net Efficiency11.3

51.6%Effective FG%58.2%

54.3%True Shooting %62.2%

15.3%Turnover Rate14.5%

24.6%Free Throw Rate41.8%

27.9%3-Point Rate38.2%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

Idaho State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 70.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.